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The futures of construction: a critical review of construction future studies

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Listed:
  • Chris Harty
  • Chris Ian Goodier
  • Robby Soetanto
  • Simon Austin
  • Andrew R. J. Dainty
  • Andrew D. F. Price

Abstract

Anticipating the future is increasingly being seen as a useful way to align, direct and improve current organizational strategy. Several such 'future studies' have been produced which envision various construction industry scenarios which result from technological and socio-economic trends and influences. Thirteen construction-related future studies are critically reviewed. Most studies fail to address the complexities and uncertainties of both the present and the future, and fail to explore the connections between global, local, construction-specific and more widespread factors. The methodological approaches used in these studies do not generate any significantly different advice or recommendations for the industry than those emerging from the much larger canon of non-future oriented construction research. As such, these reports are less about the future than the present. If future studies are to make a worthwhile contribution to construction, it is critical that they develop our appreciation of the practical ability of stakeholders to influence some aspects of the future and not others, and an awareness of the competing agendas and the relative benefits and disadvantages of specific futures within the construction sector. Only then can future studies provide insights and help in preparing for the opportunities and threats the future may bring.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Harty & Chris Ian Goodier & Robby Soetanto & Simon Austin & Andrew R. J. Dainty & Andrew D. F. Price, 2007. "The futures of construction: a critical review of construction future studies," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(5), pages 477-493.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:25:y:2007:i:5:p:477-493 DOI: 10.1080/01446190600879117
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xing Wu & Zhihui Zhang, 2005. "Input-output analysis of the Chinese construction sector," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(9), pages 905-912.
    2. C. Y. Yiu & X. H. Lu & M. Y. Leung & W. X. Jin, 2004. "A longitudinal analysis on the relationship between construction output and GDP in Hong Kong," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 339-345.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hurmekoski, Elias & Jonsson, Ragnar & Nord, Tomas, 2015. "Context, drivers, and future potential for wood-frame multi-story construction in Europe," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 181-196.
    2. Glass, Jacqueline & Dainty, Andrew R.J. & Gibb, Alistair G.F., 2008. "New build: Materials, techniques, skills and innovation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 4534-4538, December.

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    Keywords

    Future studies; scenarios; construction;

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