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Is ‘oil and gas’ industry of ASEAN5 countries integrated with the US counterpart?

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  • Hung Quang Do
  • M. Ishaq Bhatti
  • Muhammad Shahbaz

Abstract

This paper employs the VARMA-MGARCH-ABEKK model and Granger causality on 15 years’ daily time series data to examine investment opportunities in the oil and gas industries for ASEAN5 countries relative to the US counterpart. It shows that the latter leads the former in decomposing integration into cross-country effects on returns and conditional return volatilities. The empirical results show that investors can gain an international intra-industry diversification benefit in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Vietnam by holding US oil and gas assets in their portfolios whereas Asian oil and gas assets may result in negative shocks due to the increase in return volatilities for Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam. However, Thailand are insensitive to the cross-country intra-industry diversification. While making trading decisions, investors should be aware of the impulse responses of ASEAN oil and gas markets from the shocks in the US and the Asian markets and their asymmetric spill over effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Hung Quang Do & M. Ishaq Bhatti & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2020. "Is ‘oil and gas’ industry of ASEAN5 countries integrated with the US counterpart?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(37), pages 4112-4134, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4112-4134
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1731408
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    Cited by:

    1. Marie-Christine Duker & David S. Matteson & Ruey S. Tsay & Ines Wilms, 2024. "Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average Models: A Review," Papers 2406.19702, arXiv.org.
    2. Nguyen, Huu Manh & Bakry, Walid & Vuong, Thi Huong Giang, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic and herd behavior: Evidence from a frontier market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-12, October.

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