IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/applec/v47y2015i12p1199-1212.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

India's petroleum demand: estimations and projections

Author

Listed:
  • Pradeep Agrawal

Abstract

Energy security is crucial for sustaining high economic growth in India. This article empirically estimates India's long- and short-term demand relations for crude oil, diesel and petrol (gasoline) using the ARDL and ECM cointegration procedures and then uses them to project demand for these products up to 2025 under various scenarios of GDP growth and oil prices. Our projections show that over 2012 to 2025, demand is likely to increase by about 74% for crude oil, 117% for diesel and 136% for petrol - the annual growth rates being about 4.3% for crude oil, 6.1% for diesel and 6.8% for petrol (gasoline). This article suggests that India needs to (1) take measures to improve efficiency in the use of petroleum products; (2) try to enhance supplies such as through production sharing agreements by Indian oil companies with other countries and (3) increase the use of nuclear, hydro, solar and other alternative energy sources, as Western European countries have done.

Suggested Citation

  • Pradeep Agrawal, 2015. "India's petroleum demand: estimations and projections," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(12), pages 1199-1212, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1199-1212
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993131
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993131
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00036846.2014.993131?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sacchidananda Mukherjee, 2020. "Estimation and Projection of Petroleum Demand and Tax Collection from Petroleum Sector in India," Journal of Infrastructure Development, India Development Foundation, vol. 12(1), pages 39-68, June.
    2. Huntington, Hillard G. & Barrios, James J. & Arora, Vipin, 2019. "Review of key international demand elasticities for major industrializing economies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Rashmi Ranjan PAITAL & Subhendu DUTTA & Aruna Kumar DASH, 2019. "Crude Oil Import Elasticity Of Demand In India: An Empirical Analysis 1987-2016," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(2), pages 125-136.
    4. Güngör, Bekir Oray & Ertuğrul, H. Murat & Soytaş, Uğur, 2021. "Impact of Covid-19 outbreak on Turkish gasoline consumption," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1199-1212. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAEC20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.