IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/apfiec/v9y1999i5p455-468.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Testing the CRISMA trading system: evidence from the UK market

Author

Listed:
  • Alan Goodacre
  • Jacqueline Bosher
  • Andrew Dove

Abstract

A number of recent studies on technical analysis using individual measures such as filter rules, moving averages and trading range break-out have provided a measure of support for their usefulness. The current study tests the multiple-component CRISMA trading system of Pruitt and White (Journal of Portfolio Management, 14, 1988) in a UK context. The system seeks to identify equity trades (and subsequently, call options written on these shares) by using jointly the three technical filters of relative strength, cumulative volume and the relationship between 50-day and 200- day moving averages. The results over the period January 1987 to June 1996 show that the CRISMA system would have been profitable, generating an annualized profit of 19.3%. However, when adjusted for market movements and risk it was unable to predict significant excess returns. Further, the results were not stable over time and trades on larger companies fared better than small. When the signals were used to trade options, CRISMA was able to predict high returns (mean return of 10.2% per trade even in the presence of maximum retail costs) but with only 55% of trades profitable (proportion not statistically significant). Overall, the results are consistent with weak form efficiency in the UK equity market.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan Goodacre & Jacqueline Bosher & Andrew Dove, 1999. "Testing the CRISMA trading system: evidence from the UK market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 455-468.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:9:y:1999:i:5:p:455-468
    DOI: 10.1080/096031099332113
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/096031099332113
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/096031099332113?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Isakov, Dusan & Marti, Didier, 2011. "Technical Analysis with a Long-Term Perspective: Trading Strategies and Market Timing Ability," FSES Working Papers 421, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    2. Marshall, Ben R. & Cahan, Jared M. & Cahan, Rochester H., 2006. "Is the CRISMA technical trading system profitable?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 271-281, December.
    3. Yung-Ho Chang & Massoud Metghalchi & Chia-Chung Chan, 2006. "Technical trading strategies and cross-national information linkage: the case of Taiwan stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(10), pages 731-743.
    4. Edward R Dawson & James M. Steeley, 2003. "On the Existence of Visual Technical Patterns in the UK Stock Market," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1‐2), pages 263-293, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:9:y:1999:i:5:p:455-468. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAFE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.