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A new time-of-the-month anomaly in stock index returns

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  • Theodor Kohers
  • Jayen Patel

Abstract

This paper documents a new 'time-of-the-month' pattern in the daily returns of the Standard & Poor's and the NASDAQ indices. Splitting a month into three time segments, the results show that the returns are highest during the 'first third', experience a drop during the 'second third', and are lowest, and in most cases negative, during the 'last third' of a month. This pattern remained remarkably consistent for the two indices examined. It also held up well over business cycles and many different subperiods tested. Thus, the results of this study provide convincing evidence of a new monthly anomaly which displays a remarkable degree of robustness.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodor Kohers & Jayen Patel, 1999. "A new time-of-the-month anomaly in stock index returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 115-120.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:115-120
    DOI: 10.1080/135048599353744
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    Cited by:

    1. Anthony Heyes & Matthew Neidell & Soodeh Saberian, 2016. "The Effect of Air Pollution on Investor Behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500," NBER Working Papers 22753, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nisani, Doron & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Irregularities in forward-looking volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 489-501.
    3. C. B. Cadsby & V. Torbey, 2003. "Time-of-month anomaly: reality or mirage?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(12), pages 741-745.
    4. Levy, Tamir & Yagil, Joseph, 2012. "The week-of-the-year effect: Evidence from around the globe," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 1963-1974.
    5. Cemal Berk Oğuzsoy & Sibel Güven, 2006. "Turn of the Month and Turn of the Month Surrounding Days Effects in Istanbul Stock Exchange," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, April.
    6. Khalil Jebran & Shihua Chen, 2017. "Examining anomalies in Islamic equity market of Pakistan," Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 275-289, July.
    7. Muhammad Sarmad Irtiza & Shahbaz Khan & Nida Baig & Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi & Ilyas Ahmad, 2021. "The turn-of-the-month effect in Pakistani stock market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Holden, Ken & Thompson, John & Ruangrit, Yuphin, 2005. "The Asian crisis and calendar effects on stock returns in Thailand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 242-252, May.

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