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Credit expansion and the economy

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  • Luis Angeles

Abstract

Credit expansion has been associated with faster economic growth and with a higher occurrence of financial crises - a pair of results which seem to contradict each other. This paper advances an explanation for these results by separating credit to the private sector into credit to firms and credit to households. The empirical analysis shows that credit to firms is responsible for the positive growth effect, while the higher occurrence of crises is mainly due to credit to households. The events of the last decade, where fast credit expansion led to crises and very little growth, can be understood as a shift in the composition of credit towards its household component.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Angeles, 2015. "Credit expansion and the economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1064-1072, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:13:p:1064-1072
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.1000515
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    Cited by:

    1. Paola Bongini & Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska & Paweł Smaga & Bartosz Witkowski, 2017. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Foreign-Owned Banks in CESEE Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-25, March.
    2. Peterson K. Ozili & Jide Oladipo & Paul Terhemba Iorember, 2022. "Effect of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on GDP per capita in ECOWAS countries," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
    3. Klejda Gabeshi, 2022. "The Impact Of Credit Activity On The Economic Evolution Of The Developed Economies," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 185-190, February.
    4. Zhengge Song & Jingjing Tang & Haijian Zeng & Fangying Pang, 2024. "How Urban-Level Credit Expansion Affects the Quality of Green Innovation: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-22, February.
    5. Jiaming Soh & Amanda Chong & Kue-Peng Chuah, 2017. "Household credit, growth and inequality in Malaysia: does the type of credit matter?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial systems and the real economy, volume 91, pages 39-59, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Daisy J. Pacheco-Bernal & Santiago D. Segovia-Baquero & Ana M. Yaruro-Jaime, 2017. "Vulnerabilidades financieras de los hogares en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1026, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Alexander Herman & Alexander Klemm, 2019. "Financial Deepening in Mexico," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(11), pages 5-18, January.
    8. Tinghui Li & Junhao Zhong & Mark Xu, 2019. "Does the Credit Cycle Have an Impact on Happiness?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19, December.
    9. Roumeen Islam, 2017. "Growth after Crisis in Europe: An Interdependence of Macroeconomic and Structural Policies," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 11(2), pages 19-62, December.
    10. Unger, Robert, 2018. "Revisiting the finance and growth nexus: A deeper look at sectors and instruments," Discussion Papers 55/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.

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