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Exchange rate and oil price: asymmetric adjustment

Author

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  • Jen-Eem Chen
  • Chin-Yu Lee
  • Lim-Thye Goh

Abstract

This article aims to investigate whether the interaction between exchange rate and oil price exhibits asymmetric adjustment in Philippines using quarterly data over the period 1970Q1 to 2011Q4. The Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model reveals that exchange rate and oil price are not cointegrated. However, these two variables are asymmetrically adjusted in Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) model. Thus, it suggests that adjustment mechanism towards equilibrium may not be necessarily constant.

Suggested Citation

  • Jen-Eem Chen & Chin-Yu Lee & Lim-Thye Goh, 2013. "Exchange rate and oil price: asymmetric adjustment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(10), pages 987-990, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:10:p:987-990
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.770118
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    Cited by:

    1. Olayeni, Olaolu Richard & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Global economic activity, crude oil price and production, stock market behaviour and the Nigeria-US exchange rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Gao Wenxin & Wen Jun & Mahmood Hamid & Zakaria Muhammad, 2022. "Nonlinear and Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices on Exchange Rates: Evidence from South Asia," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 243-256, January.
    3. Shamaila Butt & Suresh Ramakrishnan & Nanthakumar Loganathan & Muhammad Ali Chohan, 2020. "Evaluating the exchange rate and commodity price nexus in Malaysia: evidence from the threshold cointegration approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, December.
    4. Hamid Baghestani & Bassam M. AbuAl-Foul, 2019. "Dynamics between Oil Prices and UAE Effective Exchange Rates: An Empirical Examination," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 16, pages 89-103, May.
    5. Yi Zhang, 2013. "The Links between the Price of Oil and the Value of US Dollar," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(4), pages 341-351.
    6. Thomas Theobald & Peter Hohlfeld, 2017. "Why have the recent oil price declines not stimulated global economic growth?," IMK Working Paper 185-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    7. McLeod, Roger C.D. & Haughton, Andre Yone, 2018. "The value of the US dollar and its impact on oil prices: Evidence from a non-linear asymmetric cointegration approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 61-69.
    8. Abubakar Lawan Ngoma & Normaz Wana Ismail & Zulkornain Yusop, 2016. "An Analysis of Real Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates in Five African Countries," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 51(2), pages 162-179, May.

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