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A comparison of MA and RSI returns with exchange rate intervention

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  • Thomas Shik
  • Terence Tai-Leung Chong

Abstract

This study compares the efficacy of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) vis-a-vis the Moving Average (MA) trading rules on the daily exchange rates of six currencies. The results indicate that the trading rules can yield positive risk-adjusted returns, and the profitability of these trading rules is positively related to central bank interventions. It is also found that the impact of interest rate differentials on the trading rule return is immaterial.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Shik & Terence Tai-Leung Chong, 2007. "A comparison of MA and RSI returns with exchange rate intervention," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(5), pages 371-383.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:371-383
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426269
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    Cited by:

    1. Day, Min-Yuh & Ni, Yensen & Huang, Paoyu, 2019. "Trading as sharp movements in oil prices and technical trading signals emitted with big data concerns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 349-372.
    2. Wong, Wing-Keung & Du, Jun & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2005. "Do the technical indicators reward chartists? A study on the stock markets of China, Hong Kong and Taiwan," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 1(2), pages 1-23.
    3. Day, Min-Yuh & Ni, Yensen, 2023. "Do clean energy indices outperform using contrarian strategies based on contrarian trading rules?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    4. Jordan Mann & J. Nathan Kutz, 2016. "Dynamic mode decomposition for financial trading strategies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 1643-1655, November.
    5. Chien-Liang Chiu & Paoyu Huang & Min-Yuh Day & Yensen Ni & Yuhsin Chen, 2024. "Mastery of “Monthly Effects”: Big Data Insights into Contrarian Strategies for DJI 30 and NDX 100 Stocks over a Two-Decade Period," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, January.
    6. William Wai Him Tsang & Terence Tai Leung Chong, 2009. "Profitability of the On-Balance Volume Indicator," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2424-2431.
    7. Mauricio Lopera Castano & Ramón Javier Mesa Callejas & Sergio Iván Restrepo Ochoa & Charle Augusto Londono Henao, 2013. "Modelando el esquema de intervenciones del tipo de cambio para Colombia. una aplicación empírica de la técnica de regresión del cuantil bajo redes neu," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, May.
    8. Wong, Wing-Keung & Du, Jun & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2005. "Do the technical indicators reward chartists? A study on the stock markets of China, Hong Kong and Taiwan," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 1(2), pages 1-23.
    9. Ni, Yensen & Huang, Paoyu & Chen, Yuhsin, 2019. "Board structure, considerable capital, and stock price overreaction informativeness in terms of technical indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 514-528.
    10. Yensen Ni & Min-Yuh Day & Yirung Cheng & Paoyu Huang, 2022. "Can investors profit by utilizing technical trading strategies? Evidence from the Korean and Chinese stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, December.
    11. Todea, Alexandru & Zoicas Ienciu, Adrian, 2011. "Technical Analysis and Stochastic Properties of Exchange Rate Movements: Empirical Evidence from the Romanian Currency Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 175-192, March.
    12. Min-Yuh Day & Yensen Ni & Chinning Hsu & Paoyu Huang, 2022. "Do Investment Strategies Matter for Trading Global Clean Energy and Global Energy ETFs?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-15, May.

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