IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v39y2025i4d10.1007_s11269-024-04049-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing the Spatio-Temporal Evolution Mechanisms from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought in a Heavily Human-Influenced River Basin

Author

Listed:
  • Yuefen Zhang

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research
    Tianjin University)

  • Jianzhu Li

    (Tianjin University)

  • Ping Feng

    (Tianjin University)

  • Jiyang Tian

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research
    the Ministry of Water Resources of China)

Abstract

Due to the joint impacts of climate change and human activities, it is still a challenging task to objectively evaluate the evolution mechanisms from meteorological drought (MD) to hydrological drought (HD). This study presents a comprehensive assessment of the spatio-temporal evolution mechanisms from MD to HD at the multi-timescales over Ziya River Basin in China, by using the two widely used drought indices (DIs): the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI). The relationship between MD and HD is investigated by the DI timeseries and extraction of drought events. The evolution mechanism from MD to HD is explored by the propagation time thresholds, spatial drought characteristics, and centroid trajectory, and the response of HD to MD is quantified by the regression model. The results indicate that there is a strong correlation (correlation coefficient, R > 0.655) between SPI and SSI at all timescales, and R increases as the timescale increases, with the greatest R being 0.899 between SPI12 and SSI12. Spatially, the duration (D) and severity (S) of HD tend to be higher than that of MD, while the frequency (F) is the opposite. In addition, MD (HD) centroid positions exhibit strong (light) spatio-temporal variability in ZRB, and long-lasting and high-intensity drought events tend to occur in the central part of the study area. Our results also highlight there is a clear non-linear relationship between HD and MD. Moreover, D and S of HD under human-influenced conditions are lower (higher) at short (long) timescales than under natural conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuefen Zhang & Jianzhu Li & Ping Feng & Jiyang Tian, 2025. "Assessing the Spatio-Temporal Evolution Mechanisms from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought in a Heavily Human-Influenced River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 39(4), pages 1873-1892, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:39:y:2025:i:4:d:10.1007_s11269-024-04049-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-024-04049-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-024-04049-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-024-04049-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aiguo Dai, 2011. "Drought under global warming: a review," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), pages 45-65, January.
    2. Desalegn Edossa & Mukand Babel & Ashim Das Gupta, 2010. "Drought Analysis in the Awash River Basin, Ethiopia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(7), pages 1441-1460, May.
    3. Jianping Huang & Haipeng Yu & Xiaodan Guan & Guoyin Wang & Ruixia Guo, 2016. "Accelerated dryland expansion under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(2), pages 166-171, February.
    4. Jianzhu Li & Shuhan Zhou & Rong Hu, 2016. "Hydrological Drought Class Transition Using SPI and SRI Time Series by Loglinear Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 669-684, January.
    5. Jianzhu Li & Shuhan Zhou & Rong Hu, 2016. "Hydrological Drought Class Transition Using SPI and SRI Time Series by Loglinear Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 669-684, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ashenafi Yimam Kassaye & Guangcheng Shao & Xiaojun Wang & Shiqing Wu, 2021. "Quantification of drought severity change in Ethiopia during 1952–2017," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5096-5121, April.
    2. Reza Rezaiy & Ani Shabri, 2024. "An innovative hybrid W-EEMD-ARIMA model for drought forecasting using the standardized precipitation index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(14), pages 13513-13542, November.
    3. Mohammed Achite & Ommolbanin Bazrafshan & Okan Mert Katipoğlu & Zahra Azhdari, 2023. "Evaluation of hydro-meteorological drought indices for characterizing historical droughts in the Mediterranean climate of Algeria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(1), pages 427-453, August.
    4. Jale Amanuel Dufera & Tewodros Addisu Yate & Tadesse Tujuba Kenea, 2023. "Spatiotemporal analysis of drought in Oromia regional state of Ethiopia over the period 1989 to 2019," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(2), pages 1569-1609, June.
    5. Dimitrios Myronidis & Konstantinos Ioannou & Dimitrios Fotakis & Gerald Dörflinger, 2018. "Streamflow and Hydrological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting in Cyprus," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1759-1776, March.
    6. Getachew Tegegne & Assefa M. Melesse, 2020. "Multimodel Ensemble Projection of Hydro-climatic Extremes for Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(9), pages 3019-3035, July.
    7. Wang, Fei & Lai, Hexin & Li, Yanbin & Feng, Kai & Zhang, Zezhong & Tian, Qingqing & Zhu, Xiaomeng & Yang, Haibo, 2022. "Dynamic variation of meteorological drought and its relationships with agricultural drought across China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    8. Ma, Shuai & Wang, Liang-Jie & Chu, Lei & Jiang, Jiang, 2023. "Determination of ecological restoration patterns based on water security and food security in arid regions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    9. Araneda-Cabrera, Ronnie J. & Bermúdez, María & Puertas, Jerónimo, 2021. "Assessment of the performance of drought indices for explaining crop yield variability at the national scale: Methodological framework and application to Mozambique," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    10. Corwin, D.L. & Scudiero, E. & Zaccaria, D., 2022. "Modified ECa – ECe protocols for mapping soil salinity under micro-irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    11. D. Chiru Naik & Sagar Rohidas Chavan & P. Sonali, 2023. "Incorporating the climate oscillations in the computation of meteorological drought over India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2617-2646, July.
    12. Susanna Grasso & Pierluigi Claps & Daniele Ganora & Andrea Libertino, 2021. "A Web‐based Open‐source Geoinformation Tool for Regional Water Resources Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(2), pages 675-687, January.
    13. -, 2015. "La economía del cambio climático en América Latina y el Caribe: paradojas y desafíos del desarrollo sostenible," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 37310 edited by Cepal, September.
    14. Chen, Zheng & Wu, Yong-Ping & Feng, Guo-Lin & Qian, Zhong-Hua & Sun, Gui-Quan, 2021. "Effects of global warming on pattern dynamics of vegetation: Wuwei in China as a case," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 390(C).
    15. Sourav Mukherjee & Ashok Kumar Mishra & Jakob Zscheischler & Dara Entekhabi, 2023. "Interaction between dry and hot extremes at a global scale using a cascade modeling framework," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, December.
    16. Jinquan Li & Junmin Pei & Changming Fang & Bo Li & Ming Nie, 2024. "Drought may exacerbate dryland soil inorganic carbon loss under warming climate conditions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    17. Jinfei Hu & Guangju Zhao & Pengfei Li & Xingmin Mu, 2022. "Variations of pan evaporation and its attribution from 1961 to 2015 on the Loess Plateau, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(2), pages 1199-1217, March.
    18. Muhammad Nouman Sattar & Jin-Young Lee & Ji-Yae Shin & Tae-Woong Kim, 2019. "Probabilistic Characteristics of Drought Propagation from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought in South Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2439-2452, May.
    19. Samane Saadat & Davar Khalili & Ali Kamgar-Haghighi & Shahrokh Zand-Parsa, 2013. "Investigation of spatio-temporal patterns of seasonal streamflow droughts in a semi-arid region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1697-1720, December.
    20. Masupha, Teboho E. & Moeletsi, Mokhele E., 2020. "The use of Water Requirement Satisfaction Index for assessing agricultural drought on rain-fed maize, in the Luvuvhu River catchment, South Africa," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:39:y:2025:i:4:d:10.1007_s11269-024-04049-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.