IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v31y2017i3d10.1007_s11269-016-1562-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Flood Forecasting Model that Considers the Impact of Hydraulic Projects by the Simulations of the Aggregate reservoir’s Retaining and Discharging

Author

Listed:
  • Yong Peng

    (Dalian University of Technology)

  • Xinguo Sun

    (Dalian University of Technology
    Huaiyin Institute of Technology)

  • Xiaoli Zhang

    (Dalian University of Technology
    North China University of Water Resources and Electric)

  • Huicheng Zhou

    (Dalian University of Technology)

  • Zixin Zhang

    (Dalian University of Technology)

Abstract

The hydraulic projects, such as reservoirs, ponds, and paddy fields, have a marked influence on the generation of floods, causing a number of difficulties where hydrological forecasting is concerned. To consider the influence of the hydraulic projects in hydrological forecasting, a modified TOPMODEL is presented in the paper, based on the simulation rules of the aggregate reservoir’s retaining and discharging (ARRD). In the new purposed model, termed as ARRD-TOPMODEL, the hydraulic projects are first aggregated as an equivalent reservoir, then the simulation rules of the aggregate reservoir’s retaining and discharging are determined, finally, the simulation rules are combined with an original TOPMODEL model calibrated using the floods not influenced by the hydraulic projects for flood forecasting. The ARRD-TOPMODEL was tested on the upstream of Wudaogou station basin in Northeast China. The results show that compared to the original model, the qualified rate (i.e., the ratio of the number of floods that meet acceptable criteria and the total number of floods) of runoff forecasting was increased from 73% to 100%. The problems that the overestimation of the runoff at beginning of flood season and after a long drought, as well as that the underestimation of the large flood in middle flood season are both solved, and the flood processes predicted by the new model are more consistent with the observed ones. All of these demonstrate that the newly developed model is superior to the original one and the simulation rules of the aggregate reservoir’s retaining and discharging are capable of accurately accounting for the influence of the hydraulic projects on the floods.

Suggested Citation

  • Yong Peng & Xinguo Sun & Xiaoli Zhang & Huicheng Zhou & Zixin Zhang, 2017. "A Flood Forecasting Model that Considers the Impact of Hydraulic Projects by the Simulations of the Aggregate reservoir’s Retaining and Discharging," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 1031-1045, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1562-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1562-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-016-1562-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-016-1562-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. T. Cohen Liechti & J. Matos & J.-L. Boillat & A. Schleiss, 2015. "Influence of Hydropower Development on Flow Regime in the Zambezi River Basin for Different Scenarios of Environmental Flows," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(3), pages 731-747, February.
    2. Ali Assani & Raphaëlle Landry & Jonathan Daigle & Alain Chalifour, 2011. "Reservoirs Effects on the Interannual Variability of Winter and Spring Streamflow in the St-Maurice River Watershed (Quebec, Canada)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(14), pages 3661-3675, November.
    3. Matthew Deitch & Adina Merenlender & Shane Feirer, 2013. "Cumulative Effects of Small Reservoirs on Streamflow in Northern Coastal California Catchments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5101-5118, December.
    4. Maarten Krol & Marjella Vries & Pieter Oel & José Araújo, 2011. "Sustainability of Small Reservoirs and Large Scale Water Availability Under Current Conditions and Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(12), pages 3017-3026, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Huaqing Zhao & Hao Wang & Yuxuan Zhang & Ranhang Zhao & Zhen Qi & Haodong Zhang, 2024. "Flash Flood Simulation for Hilly Reservoirs Considering Upstream Reservoirs—A Case Study of Moushan Reservoir," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-23, June.
    2. Jiazheng Lu & Jun Guo & Li Yang & Xunjian Xu, 2017. "Research of reservoir watershed fine zoning and flood forecasting method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1291-1306, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kun Cheng & Qiang Fu & Xi Chen & Tianxiao Li & Qiuxiang Jiang & Xiaosong Ma & Ke Zhao, 2015. "Adaptive Allocation Modeling for a Complex System of Regional Water and Land Resources Based on Information Entropy and its Application," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 4977-4993, November.
    2. Huaqing Zhao & Hao Wang & Yuxuan Zhang & Ranhang Zhao & Zhen Qi & Haodong Zhang, 2024. "Flash Flood Simulation for Hilly Reservoirs Considering Upstream Reservoirs—A Case Study of Moushan Reservoir," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-23, June.
    3. Julian David Hunt & Giacomo Falchetta & Behnam Zakeri & Andreas Nascimento & Paulo Smith Schneider & Natália Assis Brasil Weber & André Luiz Amarante Mesquita & Paulo Sergio Franco Barbosa & Nivalde J, 2020. "Hydropower impact on the river flow of a humid regional climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 379-393, November.
    4. J. Maestre-Valero & D. Martínez-Granados & V. Martínez-Alvarez & J. Calatrava, 2013. "Socio-Economic Impact of Evaporation Losses from Reservoirs Under Past, Current and Future Water Availability Scenarios in the Semi-Arid Segura Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1411-1426, March.
    5. Silvia Di Francesco & Stefano Casadei & Ilaria Di Mella & Francesca Giannone, 2022. "The Role of Small Reservoirs in a Water Scarcity Scenario: a Computational Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(3), pages 875-889, February.
    6. Paulilo Brasil & Pedro Medeiros, 2020. "NeStRes – Model for Operation of Non-Strategic Reservoirs for Irrigation in Drylands: Model Description and Application to a Semiarid Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 195-210, January.
    7. Ina Pohle & Anne Gädeke & Sabine Schümberg & Christoph Hinz & Hagen Koch, 2019. "Management Influences on Stream-Flow Variability in the Past and Under Potential Climate Change in a Central European Mining Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(15), pages 5191-5206, December.
    8. Thanh Le & Deg-Hyo Bae, 2013. "Evaluating the Utility of IPCC AR4 GCMs for Hydrological Application in South Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3227-3246, July.
    9. Yinghou Huang & Binbin Huang & Tianling Qin & Hanjiang Nie & Jianwei Wang & Xing Li & Zhenqian Shen, 2019. "Assessment of Hydrological Changes and Their Influence on the Aquatic Ecology over the last 58 Years in Ganjiang Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-19, September.
    10. D. González-Zeas & L. Garrote & A. Iglesias & A. Granados & A. Chávez-Jiménez, 2015. "Hydrologic Determinants of Climate Change Impacts on Regulated Water Resources Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 1933-1947, April.
    11. Belén López-Felices & José A. Aznar-Sánchez & Juan F. Velasco-Muñoz & María Piquer-Rodríguez, 2020. "Contribution of Irrigation Ponds to the Sustainability of Agriculture. A Review of Worldwide Research," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    12. James Stoutenborough & Arnold Vedlitz, 2014. "Public Attitudes Toward Water Management and Drought in the United States," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(3), pages 697-714, February.
    13. Erik Porse & Samuel Sandoval-Solis & Belize Lane, 2015. "Integrating Environmental Flows into Multi-Objective Reservoir Management for a Transboundary, Water-Scarce River Basin: Rio Grande/Bravo," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2471-2484, June.
    14. Han-Chung Yang & Jian-Ping Suen & Shih-Kai Chou, 2016. "Estimating the Ungauged Natural Flow Regimes for Environmental Flow Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4571-4584, October.
    15. Udinart Prata Rabelo & Alexandre C. Costa & Jörg Dietrich & Elahe Fallah-Mehdipour & Pieter Van Oel & Iran Eduardo Lima Neto, 2022. "Impact of Dense Networks of Reservoirs on Streamflows at Dryland Catchments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-17, October.
    16. Jacob D. Petersen-Perlman, 2016. "Projecting River Basin Resilience in the Zambezi River Basin through Global Analyses and Basin Realities," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(6), pages 1987-2003, April.
    17. Daniel Althoff & Lineu Neiva Rodrigues & Demetrius David Silva, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on the evaporation and availability of water in small reservoirs in the Brazilian savannah," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 215-232, March.
    18. Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2017. "Bringing Future Climatic Change into Water Resources Management Practice Today," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(10), pages 2933-2950, August.
    19. Matthew Deitch & Adina Merenlender & Shane Feirer, 2013. "Cumulative Effects of Small Reservoirs on Streamflow in Northern Coastal California Catchments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5101-5118, December.
    20. Enrique Morán-Tejeda & Jorge Lorenzo-Lacruz & Juan López-Moreno & Antonio Ceballos-Barbancho & Javier Zabalza & Sergio Vicente-Serrano, 2012. "Reservoir Management in the Duero Basin (Spain): Impact on River Regimes and the Response to Environmental Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(8), pages 2125-2146, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1562-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.