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The Dynamic Control Bound of Flood Limited Water Level Considering Capacity Compensation Regulation and Flood Spatial Pattern Uncertainty

Author

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  • Qiao-feng Tan

    (Sichuan University)

  • Xu Wang

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Pan Liu

    (Wuhan University)

  • Xiao-hui Lei

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Si-yu Cai

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Hao Wang

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Yi Ji

    (Beijing University of Technology)

Abstract

The dynamic control bound of flood limited water level (FLWL) is a fundamental and key element for implementing reservoir FLWL dynamic control. Due to the uncertainty of the inflow and the dimensional increase of the reservoirs, the calculation of the dynamic control bound of FLWL becomes more and more complicated. A new model that considers capacity compensation regulation and the uncertainty of flood spatial pattern (FSP) for a serial multipurpose reservoir system is developed to calculate the dynamic control bound of FLWL. This model consists of three modules: a compensation regulation module to analyze the feasibility to raise the FLWL and calculate the probable maximum upper bound of the FLWL, a risk control module containing a risk constraint to control flood risk and a Copula function to describe the uncertainty of the FSP, and a simulation operation module to simulate the flood control operation for cascade reservoirs. The proposed model was applied to Pankou-Huanglongtan cascade reservoirs in Du River basin. The application results showed that: 1) the proposed model could give a sufficient consideration about the uncertainty of the FSP, thus a safe and reasonable dynamic control bound of FLWL was derived. 2) the upper FLWL of Huanglongtan reservoir could rise up to 247.64 m from 247.00 m without increasing flood control risk and Huanglongtan reservoir could generate 9 and 7 billion kW.h extra hydropower energy during flood season in wet year 2000 and in dry year 1994, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiao-feng Tan & Xu Wang & Pan Liu & Xiao-hui Lei & Si-yu Cai & Hao Wang & Yi Ji, 2017. "The Dynamic Control Bound of Flood Limited Water Level Considering Capacity Compensation Regulation and Flood Spatial Pattern Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 143-158, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1515-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1515-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yanbin Li & Yubo Li & Kai Feng & Kaiyuan Tian & Tongxuan Huang, 2023. "Dynamic Control of Flood Limited Water Levels for Parallel Reservoirs by Considering Forecast Period Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Qiao-feng Tan & Guo-hua Fang & Xin Wen & Xiao-hui Lei & Xu Wang & Chao Wang & Yi Ji, 2020. "Bayesian Stochastic Dynamic Programming for Hydropower Generation Operation Based on Copula Functions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(5), pages 1589-1607, March.
    3. Di Zhu & Yadong Mei & Xinfa Xu & Zhangjun Liu & Zhenhui Wu & Hao Cai, 2021. "Optimal Operation of a Parallel Multireservoir System for Flood Control using a Stagewise Compensation Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1689-1710, April.
    4. Di Zhu & Hua Chen & Yanlai Zhou & Yadong Mei & Xinfa Xu & Shenglian Guo, 2022. "A Triple-stage Operation Method for Deriving Operation Rules for Cascade Reservoirs during Catastrophic Flood Events," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 4863-4883, October.
    5. Lihua Chen & Jing Yu & Jin Teng & Hang Chen & Xiang Teng & Xuefang Li, 2022. "Optimizing Joint Flood Control Operating Charts for Multi–reservoir System Based on Multi–group Piecewise Linear Function," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(9), pages 3305-3325, July.
    6. Xiaoying Li & Yan Zhang & Zechun Tong & Guo-Yue Niu, 2022. "Reservoir Flood Season Segmentation and Risk–benefit Cooperative Decision of Staged Flood Limited Water Level," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3463-3479, August.

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