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Forecasting the Level of Reservoirs Using Multiple Input Fuzzification in ANFIS

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  • Nariman Valizadeh
  • Ahmed El-Shafie

Abstract

Estimation the Level of water is one of the crucial subjects in reservoir management influencing on reservoir operation and decision making. One of the most accurate artificial intelligence model used broadly in water resource aspects is adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS) taking in to account the membership functions (MF) on the basis of the smoothness characteristics and mathematical components each for set of input data. All researches in hydrological estimation used ANFIS, merely a type of MF has been noticed for all sets of inputs without considering the response of each of them. This study is applying a specified certain MFs for each type of input to improve the accuracy of ANFIS model in forecasting the water level in Klang Gates Dam in Malaysia. On the basis of the previous studies, two most popular MFs, Generalized Bell Shape MF and, Gaussian MF, are employed for examine the new pattern in two inputs ANFIS architecture resulted less stress in error performance, and higher accuracy in estimation, compare to the traditional ANFIS model. The aim is achieved by evaluating the performance in and fitness of the model in daily reservoir estimation. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Nariman Valizadeh & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2013. "Forecasting the Level of Reservoirs Using Multiple Input Fuzzification in ANFIS," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3319-3331, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:27:y:2013:i:9:p:3319-3331
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-013-0349-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ahmed El-Shafie & Mahmoud Taha & Aboelmagd Noureldin, 2007. "A neuro-fuzzy model for inflow forecasting of the Nile river at Aswan high dam," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(3), pages 533-556, March.
    2. Changsam Jeong & Ju-Young Shin & Taesoon Kim & Jun-Haneg Heo, 2012. "Monthly Precipitation Forecasting with a Neuro-Fuzzy Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(15), pages 4467-4483, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chih-Chiang Wei & Nien-Sheng Hsu & Chien-Lin Huang, 2014. "Two-Stage Pumping Control Model for Flood Mitigation in Inundated Urban Drainage Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 425-444, January.
    2. Nariman Valizadeh & Majid Mirzaei & Mohammed Falah Allawi & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan & Nuruol Syuhadaa Mohd & Aini Hussain & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2017. "Artificial intelligence and geo-statistical models for stream-flow forecasting in ungauged stations: state of the art," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(3), pages 1377-1392, April.
    3. Meral Buyukyildiz & Gulay Tezel & Volkan Yilmaz, 2014. "Estimation of the Change in Lake Water Level by Artificial Intelligence Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4747-4763, October.
    4. Raúl Parada & Jordi Font & Jordi Casas-Roma, 2019. "Predicting Energy Generation Using Forecasting Techniques in Catalan Reservoirs," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
    5. Isa Ebtehaj & Hossein Bonakdari, 2014. "Performance Evaluation of Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System for Sediment Transport in Sewers," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4765-4779, October.
    6. Afiq Hipni & Ahmed El-shafie & Ali Najah & Othman Karim & Aini Hussain & Muhammad Mukhlisin, 2013. "Daily Forecasting of Dam Water Levels: Comparing a Support Vector Machine (SVM) Model With Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3803-3823, August.
    7. Ahmed El-Shafie & Amr El-Shafie & Muhammad Mukhlisin, 2014. "New Approach: Integrated Risk-Stochastic Dynamic Model for Dam and Reservoir Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(8), pages 2093-2107, June.
    8. Tarate Suryakant Bajirao & Pravendra Kumar & Manish Kumar & Ahmed Elbeltagi & Alban Kuriqi, 2021. "Superiority of Hybrid Soft Computing Models in Daily Suspended Sediment Estimation in Highly Dynamic Rivers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-29, January.
    9. Zhang, Zixiong & Gong, Yicheng & Wang, Zhongjing, 2018. "Accessible remote sensing data based reference evapotranspiration estimation modelling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 59-69.

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