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Vulnerability Analysis of Future Public Water Supply Under Changing Climate Conditions: A Study of the Moy Catchment, Western Ireland

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  • Julia Hall
  • Conor Murphy

Abstract

An application of the Water Evaluation and Planning tool Version 21 (WEAP21) is developed to analyse the vulnerability of the future public water supply in the River Moy catchment, western Ireland. The River Moy’s future hydrology is modelled using the WEAP21 integrated rainfall runoff module and an ensemble of statistically downscaled future climate series. This approach facilitates the identification of the most vulnerable future public water supplies without being constrained by the availability of historically observed streamflow records. The model is calibrated by linking the model-independent parameter estimation tool (PEST) with the hydrological model and verified by reproducing observed streamflow records. This research suggests an emerging vulnerability to water stress of the public water supply sector under the four modelled scenarios, for areas which currently have plenty of water available. These results present a basis for future planning and management of the Moy catchment and its water resources. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Julia Hall & Conor Murphy, 2010. "Vulnerability Analysis of Future Public Water Supply Under Changing Climate Conditions: A Study of the Moy Catchment, Western Ireland," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(13), pages 3527-3545, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:13:p:3527-3545
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-010-9618-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. Bahremand & F. Smedt, 2008. "Distributed Hydrological Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis in Torysa Watershed, Slovakia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(3), pages 393-408, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghadeer Jubeh & Ziad Mimi, 2012. "Governance and Climate Vulnerability Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4147-4162, November.
    2. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Ching-Nuo Chen & Chang-Tai Tsai, 2012. "Physiographic Drainage-Inundation Model Based Flooding Vulnerability Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(5), pages 1307-1323, March.
    3. Yuan-Chien Lin & En-Dian Kuo & Wan-Ju Chi, 2021. "Analysis of Meteorological Drought Resilience and Risk Assessment of Groundwater Using Signal Analysis Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 179-197, January.
    4. Kirsten Harma & Mark Johnson & Stewart Cohen, 2012. "Future Water Supply and Demand in the Okanagan Basin, British Columbia: A Scenario-Based Analysis of Multiple, Interacting Stressors," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(3), pages 667-689, February.
    5. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Ya-Yi Hsiao, 2012. "Water-deficit-based drought risk assessments in Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 237-257, October.
    6. C. Harris & A. Quinn & J. Bridgeman, 2013. "Quantification of uncertainty sources in a probabilistic climate change assessment of future water shortages," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(2), pages 317-329, November.

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