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Hypothesis Testing for an Exposure–Disease Association in Case–Control Studies Under Nondifferential Exposure Misclassification in the Presence of Validation Data: Bayesian and Frequentist Adjustments

Author

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  • Mohammad Ehsanul Karim

    (McGill University)

  • Paul Gustafson

    (University of British Columbia)

Abstract

In epidemiologic studies, measurement error in the exposure variable can have a detrimental effect on the power of hypothesis testing for detecting the impact of exposure in the development of a disease. To adjust for misclassification in the hypothesis testing procedure involving a misclassified binary exposure variable, we consider a retrospective case–control scenario under the assumption of nondifferential misclassification. We develop a test under Bayesian approach from a posterior distribution generated by a MCMC algorithm and a normal prior under realistic assumptions. We compared this test with an equivalent likelihood ratio test developed under the frequentist approach, using various simulated settings and in the presence or the absence of validation data. In our simulations, we considered varying degrees of sensitivity, specificity, sample sizes, exposure prevalence, and proportion of unvalidated and validated data. In these scenarios, our simulation study shows that the adjusted model (with-validation data model) is always better than the unadjusted model (without validation data model). However, we showed that exception is possible in the fixed budget scenario where collection of the validation data requires a much higher cost. We also showed that both Bayesian and frequentist hypothesis testing procedures reach the same conclusions for the scenarios under consideration. The Bayesian approach is, however, computationally more stable in rare exposure contexts. A real case–control study was used to show the application of the hypothesis testing procedures under consideration.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Ehsanul Karim & Paul Gustafson, 2016. "Hypothesis Testing for an Exposure–Disease Association in Case–Control Studies Under Nondifferential Exposure Misclassification in the Presence of Validation Data: Bayesian and Frequentist Adjustments," Statistics in Biosciences, Springer;International Chinese Statistical Association, vol. 8(2), pages 234-252, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stabio:v:8:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s12561-015-9141-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s12561-015-9141-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gordon J. Prescott & Paul H. Garthwaite, 2002. "A Simple Bayesian Analysis of Misclassified Binary Data with a Validation Substudy," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 58(2), pages 454-458, June.
    2. Martin Ladouceur & Elham Rahme & Christian A. Pineau & Lawrence Joseph, 2007. "Robustness of Prevalence Estimates Derived from Misclassified Data from Administrative Databases," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 63(1), pages 272-279, March.
    3. Sander Greenland, 2001. "Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Risk Analysis, and Bayesian Uncertainty Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(4), pages 579-584, August.
    4. Christina A. Holcroft & Donna Spiegelman, 1999. "Design of Validation Studies for Estimating the Odds Ratio of Exposure–Disease Relationships When Exposure Is Misclassified," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 1193-1201, December.
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