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Drivers of changing community resilience

Author

Listed:
  • Sahar Derakhshan

    (California State Polytechnic University Pomona)

  • Margot Habets

    (University of South Carolina)

  • Susan L. Cutter

    (University of South Carolina)

Abstract

Understanding how community resilience changes over time and the drivers of those changes requires longitudinal studies to test components of resilience within (1) spatio-temporal contexts as well as (2) a conceptual framework of what is changeable. In this study, first, we look at the temporal and spatial patterns of change in community resilience scores, using the established Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) through three snapshots in 2010, 2015, and a newly calculated 2020 for the United States. Second, we examine the actionable and contextual drivers of improved resilience which can set goals for communities. While areas with the highest and lowest resilience scores remain consistent, on average, resilience scores improved between 2010 and 2015 and 2010–2020, though they decreased between 2015 and 2020. Our findings suggest infrastructural capital is more explanatory in terms of changes in resilience scores. Finally, health coverage and internet access were the highest individual actionable predictors of BRIC in 2010 and 2015 but less important in 2020, given the reduced variability in access from place to place. The observed changes are derived from the BRIC construction, variable constraints, and conceptual framework, thus further validations and qualitative studies are required to complement or contradict our findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Sahar Derakhshan & Margot Habets & Susan L. Cutter, 2025. "Drivers of changing community resilience," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(8), pages 9705-9729, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:8:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07196-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07196-1
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