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Comparison of machine learning algorithms for slope stability prediction using an automated machine learning approach

Author

Listed:
  • Talas Fikret Kurnaz

    (Mersin University)

  • Caner Erden

    (Sakarya University of Applied Sciences
    Sakarya University of Applied Sciences)

  • Uğur Dağdeviren

    (Kutahya Dumlupinar University)

  • Alparslan Serhat Demir

    (Sakarya University)

  • Abdullah Hulusi Kökçam

    (Sakarya University)

Abstract

Evaluation of slope failures, which cause significant loss of life and property comparable to natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods and hurricanes, is one of the main areas of interest in geotechnical engineering. Although traditional and modern methods have been developed for slope stability analysis, the importance given to computer-based approaches has increased in recent years. In this study, we investigated the effectiveness of advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms in classification-based slope stability assessment. In this context, examining the impact of input parameters, such as slope height, slope angle, unit volume weight, internal friction angle of the soil, cohesion of the slope material, and water pressure ratio on the slope stability potential and a comparative analysis was performed on the ML algorithms. On the other hand, automated machine learning (AutoML) approaches were used to make rapid and comprehensive comparisons of ensemble, boosting, bagging and traditional ML algorithms to simplifying application development. The weighted ensemble learning algorithm provided by the AutoGluon package outperformed other algorithms in both testing and training accuracy, achieving an impressive rate of 97.5%, according to the obtained results. All algorithms included in the study performed well, with NeuralNetTorch and CatBoost securing the second position with an accuracy rate of 95%. Furthermore, when evaluating the importance of features using the best algorithm, it can be seen that unit volume weight and internal friction angle of soil had the highest weights, 0.225 and 0.200, respectively, indicating their importance in classifying slope stability. In conclusion, our research significantly advanced slope stability assessment, achieving one of the highest accuracy of 0.975 among various classification-based studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Talas Fikret Kurnaz & Caner Erden & Uğur Dağdeviren & Alparslan Serhat Demir & Abdullah Hulusi Kökçam, 2024. "Comparison of machine learning algorithms for slope stability prediction using an automated machine learning approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(8), pages 6991-7014, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:8:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06490-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06490-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shakti Suman & S. Z. Khan & S. K. Das & S. K. Chand, 2016. "Slope stability analysis using artificial intelligence techniques," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(2), pages 727-748, November.
    2. Leilei Liu & Guoyan Zhao & Weizhang Liang, 2023. "Slope Stability Prediction Using k -NN-Based Optimum-Path Forest Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-31, July.
    3. Xianfeng Li & Mayuko Nishio & Kentaro Sugawara & Shoji Iwanaga & Pang-jo Chun, 2023. "Surrogate Model Development for Slope Stability Analysis Using Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-36, July.
    4. Yukun Yang & Wei Zhou & Izhar Mithal Jiskani & Xiang Lu & Zhiming Wang & Boyu Luan, 2023. "Slope Stability Prediction Method Based on Intelligent Optimization and Machine Learning Algorithms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Arsalan Mahmoodzadeh & Mokhtar Mohammadi & Hunar Farid Hama Ali & Hawkar Hashim Ibrahim & Sazan Nariman Abdulhamid & Hamid Reza Nejati, 2022. "Prediction of safety factors for slope stability: comparison of machine learning techniques," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(2), pages 1771-1799, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. K. C. Rajan & Milan Aryal & Keshab Sharma & Netra Prakash Bhandary & Richa Pokhrel & Indra Prasad Acharya, 2025. "Development of a framework for the prediction of slope stability using machine learning paradigms," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(1), pages 83-107, January.
    2. Dongze Lei & Junwei Ma & Guangcheng Zhang & Yankun Wang & Xin Deng & Jiayu Liu, 2025. "Bayesian ensemble learning and Shapley additive explanations for fast estimation of slope stability with a physics-informed database," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(3), pages 2941-2970, February.

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