IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v120y2024i6d10.1007_s11069-024-06408-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Drought assessment and characterization using SPI, EDI and DEPI indices in northern Algeria

Author

Listed:
  • Brahim Habibi

    (Hassiba Benbouali University of Chlef
    GEE Laboratory)

  • Mohamed Meddi

    (National School of Hydraulics
    GEE Laboratory)

  • Topçu Emre

    (Kafkas University)

  • Abdelkader Boucefiane

    (Djilali Bounaama University of Khemis Miliana
    GEE Laboratory)

  • Abedelwahab Rahmouni

    (University Hassiba Benbouali of Chlef
    GEE Laboratory)

Abstract

The average annual precipitation values in the Cheliff-Zahrez basin range from 80 to 600 mm/an, indicating a semi-arid climate. This work revolves around a new drought exceedance probability index (DEPI), a standardized precipitation index (SPI) and effective drought index (EDI) in different time scales (3, 6, 9, 12 and 24) derived from monthly precipitation series stretching from September 1970 to August 2015. The latter aims to analyze the performance, similarities and differences between the most used drought indices such as SPI and EDI and to compare their results with those obtained using DEPI. The results indicated that the majority of selected stations tend to a decline in annual rainfall, with a dominant break in series between 1970 and 1980. The Mann–Kendall test result showed that the monthly rainfall trend had significantly decreased in the majority of studied stations. Furthermore, the SPI and EDI series showed persistent monthly drought conditions from January 1970 to March 2010 with an extreme drought peak of − 3. However, the DEPI index showed monthly drought events ( 80%) between SPI and EDI at the time scale of 24 months. At the 9- and 12-month scale, the coefficient of determination showed a variance greater than 50% over the entire basin. On the other hand, the coefficients of determination results between SPI and EDI for the time scale of 3 to 6 months are characterized by a gradient from the northeast to southwest or from 10 to 90%. The stations of the Coastline 2 basin have revealed that the relationship between SPI and DEPI as well as EDI and DEPI is not significant, being allowed between 10 and 30% on time scales of 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months. The results of this work and information on the severity and persistence of droughts will be essential to enable managers to adopt an integrated and sustainable management of scarce resources and aim at minimizing agricultural production losses in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Brahim Habibi & Mohamed Meddi & Topçu Emre & Abdelkader Boucefiane & Abedelwahab Rahmouni, 2024. "Drought assessment and characterization using SPI, EDI and DEPI indices in northern Algeria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(6), pages 5201-5231, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06408-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06408-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-024-06408-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-024-06408-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Seyed Banimahd & Davar Khalili, 2013. "Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 3911-3928, September.
    2. Anurag Malik & Anil Kumar & Ozgur Kisi & Najeebullah Khan & Sinan Q. Salih & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2021. "Analysis of dry and wet climate characteristics at Uttarakhand (India) using effective drought index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 1643-1662, January.
    3. Qianchuan Mi & Chuanyou Ren & Yanhua Wang & Xining Gao & Limin Liu & Yue Li, 2023. "A robust ensemble drought index: construction and assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 1139-1159, March.
    4. Rizwan Niaz & Fahad Tanveer & Mohammed M. A. Almazah & Ijaz Hussain & Soliman Alkhatib & A.Y. Al-Razami & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan, 2022. "Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-19, May.
    5. Bilel Zerouali & Mohamed Chettih & Zaki Abda & Mohamed Mesbah & Celso Augusto Guimarães Santos & Reginaldo Moura Brasil Neto & Richarde Marques Silva, 2021. "Spatiotemporal meteorological drought assessment in a humid Mediterranean region: case study of the Oued Sebaou basin (northern central Algeria)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 689-709, August.
    6. L. Vergni & F. Todisco & B. Lena, 2021. "Evaluation of the similarity between drought indices by correlation analysis and Cohen's Kappa test in a Mediterranean area," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 2187-2209, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gokhan Yildirim & Ataur Rahman, 2022. "Spatiotemporal meteorological drought assessment: a case study in south-east Australia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 305-332, March.
    2. Dilayda Soylu Pekpostalci & Rifat Tur & Ali Danandeh Mehr & Mohammad Amin Vazifekhah Ghaffari & Dominika Dąbrowska & Vahid Nourani, 2023. "Drought Monitoring and Forecasting across Turkey: A Contemporary Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Milan Gocic & Slavisa Trajkovic, 2014. "Drought Characterisation Based on Water Surplus Variability Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 3179-3191, August.
    4. Muhammad Imran Khan & Dong Liu & Qiang Fu & Qaisar Saddique & Muhammad Abrar Faiz & Tianxiao Li & Muhammad Uzair Qamar & Song Cui & Chen Cheng, 2017. "Projected Changes of Future Extreme Drought Events under Numerous Drought Indices in the Heilongjiang Province of China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3921-3937, September.
    5. Ismallianto Isia & Tony Hadibarata & Muhammad Noor Hazwan Jusoh & Rajib Kumar Bhattacharjya & Noor Fifinatasha Shahedan & Aissa Bouaissi & Norma Latif Fitriyani & Muhammad Syafrudin, 2022. "Drought Analysis Based on Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index and Standardized Precipitation Index in Sarawak, Malaysia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, December.
    6. Ruqayah Mohammed & Miklas Scholz, 2019. "Climate Variability Impact on the Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Drought and Aridityin Arid and Semi-Arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(15), pages 5015-5033, December.
    7. Salih Muhammad Awadh & Ahmed H. Al-Sulttani & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2022. "Temporal dynamic drought interpretation of Sawa Lake: case study located at the Southern Iraqi region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(1), pages 619-638, May.
    8. Jin Huang & Shanlei Sun & Yan Xue & Jinjian Li & Jinchi Zhang, 2014. "Spatial and Temporal Variability of Precipitation and Dryness/Wetness During 1961–2008 in Sichuan Province, West China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(6), pages 1655-1670, April.
    9. Javad Bazrafshan & Somayeh Hejabi, 2018. "A Non-Stationary Reconnaissance Drought Index (NRDI) for Drought Monitoring in a Changing Climate," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(8), pages 2611-2624, June.
    10. Zhenya Li & Zulfiqar Ali & Tong Cui & Sadia Qamar & Muhammad Ismail & Amna Nazeer & Muhammad Faisal, 2022. "A comparative analysis of pre- and post-industrial spatiotemporal drought trends and patterns of Tibet Plateau using Sen slope estimator and steady-state probabilities of Markov Chain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 547-576, August.
    11. Alex Avilés & Rolando Célleri & Javier Paredes & Abel Solera, 2015. "Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 1949-1963, April.
    12. Omvir Singh & Divya Saini & Pankaj Bhardwaj, 2021. "Characterization of meteorological drought over a dryland ecosystem in north western India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 785-826, October.
    13. Chunping Tan & Jianping Yang & Xiaoming Wang & Dahe Qin & Bo Huang & Hongju Chen, 2020. "Drought disaster risks under CMIP5 RCP scenarios in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(3), pages 909-931, February.
    14. Muhammad Waseem & Muhammad Ajmal & Joo Heon Lee & Tae-Woong Kim, 2016. "Multivariate Drought Assessment Considering the Antecedent Drought Conditions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4221-4231, September.
    15. Mohammad Amin Asadi Zarch, 2022. "Past and Future Global Drought Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 5259-5276, October.
    16. Muhammad Imran Khan & Dong Liu & Qiang Fu & Shuhua Dong & Umar Waqas Liaqat & Muhammad Abrar Faiz & Yuxiang Hu & Qaisar Saddique, 2016. "Recent Climate Trends and Drought Behavioral Assessment Based on Precipitation and Temperature Data Series in the Songhua River Basin of China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4839-4859, October.
    17. Hossein Tabari & Reza Zamani & Hossein Rahmati & Patrick Willems, 2015. "Markov Chains of Different Orders for Streamflow Drought Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3441-3457, July.
    18. Nadjib Haied & Atif Foufou & Samira Khadri & Adel Boussaid & Mohamed Azlaoui & Nabil Bougherira, 2023. "Spatial and Temporal Assessment of Drought Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk in Three Different Climatic Zones in Algeria Using Two Commonly Used Meteorological Indices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-25, May.
    19. Jincy Rose M.A & Chithra N.R, 2023. "Application of Copulas in Hydrometeorological Drought Risk Analysis Under Climate Change Scenarios- a Case Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(14), pages 5399-5429, November.
    20. Arash Modaresi Rad & Davar Khalili & Ali Akbar Kamgar-Haghighi & Shahrokh Zand-Parsa & Seyed Adib Banimahd, 2016. "Assessment of seasonal characteristics of streamflow droughts under semiarid conditions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1541-1564, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06408-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.