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The spatial analysis of urbanization dynamic impacts in a 50-year flood frequency in Java, Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Anang Wahyu Sejati

    (Universitas Diponegoro
    Universitas Diponegoro
    Sejati Institute of Spatial Computation (SISCo))

  • Imam Buchori

    (Universitas Diponegoro
    Universitas Diponegoro)

  • Nattaya Mlatti Lakshita

    (Universitas Diponegoro)

  • I. G. Andika Wiratmaja

    (Universitas Diponegoro)

  • Desyta Ulfiana

    (Universitas Diponegoro)

Abstract

This paper re-examines the influence of urban development on the number of flood events in Java from 1970 to 2020. This paper aims to prove development policies in Indonesia in the last 50 years and to analyze the correlation between flood events, population growth, and urbanization on a broader regional scale. The Moran-I spatial autocorrelation analysis method is applied to measure its spatial autocorrelation between urbanization and flood events. The dynamic urbanization illustrated by spatial–temporal analysis from the 1970 to the 2020s using Landsat data; in this case, urbanization is measured using the parameters of population concentration and built-up area growth in urban areas of Java. In more detail, the results of hot-spot clusters show development from “lower-low” dispersion in the 70 s to areas with a majority of “higher-high” clustered in 2000–2020. It proves that the development burden in Java is in high category impact, so solutions for population distribution, land development, and spatial planning are needed to ensure environmental sustainability in Java.

Suggested Citation

  • Anang Wahyu Sejati & Imam Buchori & Nattaya Mlatti Lakshita & I. G. Andika Wiratmaja & Desyta Ulfiana, 2024. "The spatial analysis of urbanization dynamic impacts in a 50-year flood frequency in Java, Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(3), pages 2639-2659, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-023-06298-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06298-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jihye Ha & Jung Eun Kang, 2022. "Assessment of flood-risk areas using random forest techniques: Busan Metropolitan City," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2407-2429, April.
    2. Euntaek Shin & Hyung-Jun Kim & Dong Sop Rhee & Taesoo Eom & Chang Geun Song, 2021. "Spatiotemporal flood risk assessment of underground space considering flood intensity and escape route," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1539-1555, November.
    3. Wiwandari Handayani & Uchendu Eugene Chigbu & Iwan Rudiarto & Intan Hapsari Surya Putri, 2020. "Urbanization and Increasing Flood Risk in the Northern Coast of Central Java—Indonesia: An Assessment towards Better Land Use Policy and Flood Management," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-22, September.
    4. Iwan Rudiarto & Wiwandari Handayani & Jawoto Sih Setyono, 2018. "A Regional Perspective on Urbanization and Climate-Related Disasters in the Northern Coastal Region of Central Java, Indonesia," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, March.
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