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The ambiguity in IPCC’s risk diagram raises explanatory challenges

Author

Listed:
  • Sven Fuchs

    (BOKU University)

  • Konstantinos Karagiorgos

    (Karlstad University
    Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS))

  • Margreth Keiler

    (Austrian Academy of Sciences
    University of Innsbruck)

  • Maria Papathoma-Köhle

    (BOKU University)

  • Lars Nyberg

    (Karlstad University
    Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS))

Abstract

The concept of risk remains a key aspect in the recently published 6th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC risk diagram shows risk as a function of three elements: hazard, exposure and vulnerability. While this relationship is undisputed, simply superimposing the individual risk factors as presented in the IPCC diagram does not do justice to the underlying definitions of the terms. This diagram can thus confuse more than it clarifies and, we argue, should be reconsidered.

Suggested Citation

  • Sven Fuchs & Konstantinos Karagiorgos & Margreth Keiler & Maria Papathoma-Köhle & Lars Nyberg, 2024. "The ambiguity in IPCC’s risk diagram raises explanatory challenges," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(13), pages 12559-12564, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:13:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06643-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06643-9
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    1. Seth E. Spielman & Joseph Tuccillo & David C. Folch & Amy Schweikert & Rebecca Davies & Nathan Wood & Eric Tate, 2020. "Evaluating social vulnerability indicators: criteria and their application to the Social Vulnerability Index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 417-436, January.
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