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Extreme storm surges and waves and vulnerability of coastal bridges in New York City metropolitan region: an assessment based on Hurricane Sandy

Author

Listed:
  • K. Qu

    (Changsha University of Science and Technology
    CUNY)

  • W. Yao

    (Boston Consulting Group)

  • H. S. Tang

    (CUNY)

  • A. Agrawal

    (CUNY)

  • G. Shields

    (CUNY)

  • S. I. Chien

    (New Jersey Institute of Technology)

  • S. Gurung

    (CUNY)

  • Y. Imam

    (North Cross School)

  • I. Chiodi

    (Friends Seminary)

Abstract

Hurricane Sandy struck the New York metropolitan area in October 2012, becoming the second-costliest cyclone in the nation since 1900, and it serves as a valuable basis for investigating future extreme hurricane events in the area. This paper presents a hindcast study of storm surges and waves along the coast of the Mid-Atlantic Bight region during Hurricane Sandy using the FVCOM-SWAVE system, and its simulation results match observed data at a number of stations along the coastline. Then, as potential future scenarios, surges and waves in this region are predicted in synthetic hurricanes based on Hurricane Sandy’s parameters in association with sea-level rise in 50 and 100 years as well as with eight paths perturbed from that of Sandy. The prediction indicates that such surges and waves exhibit complex behaviors, and they can be much stronger than those during Hurricane Sandy. Finally, an assessment of hydraulic vulnerability is made for all coastal bridges in the New Jersey and New York region. It shows that hydrodynamic load and scour depth at some bridges may be worse in certain scenarios than those during Superstorm Sandy, while the probability of structural failure is small for the majority of them.

Suggested Citation

  • K. Qu & W. Yao & H. S. Tang & A. Agrawal & G. Shields & S. I. Chien & S. Gurung & Y. Imam & I. Chiodi, 2021. "Extreme storm surges and waves and vulnerability of coastal bridges in New York City metropolitan region: an assessment based on Hurricane Sandy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2697-2734, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:105:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04420-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04420-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adam Hatzikyriakou & Ning Lin, 2017. "Simulating storm surge waves for structural vulnerability estimation and flood hazard mapping," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(2), pages 939-962, November.
    2. Komali Kantamaneni, 2016. "Coastal infrastructure vulnerability: an integrated assessment model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 139-154, October.
    3. Meixler, Marcia S., 2017. "Assessment of Hurricane Sandy damage and resulting loss in ecosystem services in a coastal-urban setting," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 28-46.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carmela Mariano & Marsia Marino & Giovanna Pisacane & Gianmaria Sannino, 2021. "Sea Level Rise and Coastal Impacts: Innovation and Improvement of the Local Urban Plan for a Climate-Proof Adaptation Strategy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-21, February.

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