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A modified hurdle model for completed fertility

  • Francisco Covas

    (Instituto Nacional de Estati´stica, Lisboa, Portugal)

  • J.M.C. Santos Silva

    ()

    (ISEG, Universidade TÊcnica de Lisboa, R. do Quelhas 6, 1200 Lisboa, Portugal)

In this paper it is argued that models for completed fertility have to take into consideration that childless couples and couples with an only child are qualitatively different from couples with two or more children. Indeed, these differences may be the cause of the underdispersion that characterizes completed fertility data. An empirical illustration using Portuguese data suggests that accounting for the qualitative difference between having zero, one, or more children leads to considerable improvements over a model of the type generally used to describe this sort of data.

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Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 13 (2000)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 173-188

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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:13:y:2000:i:2:p:173-188
Note: Received: 6 July 1998/Accepted: 14 January 1999
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