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Who is ruling Europe? Empirical evidence on the German Dominance Hypothesis

Author

Listed:
  • Mariam Camarero

    (Department of Economics, University Jaume I. Campus del Riu Sec. E-12071 Castellón Spain.)

  • Javier Ordóñez

    (Department of Economics, University Jaume I. Campus del Riu Sec. E-12071 Castellón Spain.)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze the hypothesis of German dominance in the European Monetary System (EMS). For this purpose, we use monthly interest rates for nine European countries from January 1979 to the second half of 1997. In particular, we test the stability of the implied long-run relationships to assess whether there has been a significant change in the EMS performance. The econometric methodology is based on Johansen's maximum likelihood procedure and several tests for parameter instability. The most important finding is that, although Germany has a significant influence on the monetary policy of the other European countries, it is not possible to accept the existence of dominance.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariam Camarero & Javier Ordóñez, 2001. "Who is ruling Europe? Empirical evidence on the German Dominance Hypothesis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 623-650.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:26:y:2001:i:4:p:623-650
    Note: received: May 1999/Final version received: November 2000
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Marie Podevin, 2001. "Interaction entre taux d'intérêt allemands et français : un réexamen de l'hypothèse de dominance allemande," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 148(2), pages 49-70.
    2. William Bryant & Roselyne Joyeux, 2010. "Interest linkages between the US, UK and German interest rates: should the UK join the European Monetary Union?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 633-647.
    3. Andrea Cipollini & Jerry Coakley & Hyunchul Lee, 2015. "The European sovereign debt market: from integration to segmentation," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 111-128, January.
    4. Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, 2016. "Euro Dominance Hypothesis and Monetary Policy Independence the Czech Perspective," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(6), pages 655-670.
    5. Mete Feridun, 2006. "An Investigation of the German Dominance Hypothesis in the Context of Eastern Enlargement of the EU," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(2), pages 172-182.
    6. Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, . "Euro Dominance Hypothesis and Monetary Policy Independence - the Czech Perspective," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0, pages 1-16.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    asymmetry; cointegration; structural change; German dominance; interest rate; weak exogeneity.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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