IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/risrel/v239y2025i5p1041-1060.html

Bayes estimation of defective proportion for single shot device testing data with information on masking and manufacturing defects

Author

Listed:
  • Akanksha Kumari
  • Vikas Kumar Sharma

Abstract

The present work addresses the problem of estimating the defective proportion of Single-Shot-Devices under the Bayesian paradigm while taking failure cause information into account. In addition, the maximum likelihood estimation is also presented. The logit transformation is suggested to use for defective proportion parameter for better stability of the numerical maximum likelihood estimate. The same transformation is used for the posterior distribution. Since the posterior distribution becomes complex, we propose the use of Metropolis-Hastings method to draw the posterior samples and present posterior sample based inferences. Bayes estimation under several symmetric and asymmetric loss functions is presented in this work. Predictive posterior density of future failures is also derived. The prior distributions of the model parameters are assumed to follow specific functional forms. A comprehensive simulation study is conducted to examine the performance of the estimates in relation to sample size and model parameters. Our study demonstrates that integrating combined information on masking and defective proportions is crucial for parameter estimation. To demonstrate the practical application of our proposed methodology, we apply it to skin cancer data using the linear failure rate model as survival distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Akanksha Kumari & Vikas Kumar Sharma, 2025. "Bayes estimation of defective proportion for single shot device testing data with information on masking and manufacturing defects," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 239(5), pages 1041-1060, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:239:y:2025:i:5:p:1041-1060
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X241299018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1748006X241299018
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1748006X241299018?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. W. K. Hastings, 1970. "Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 57(1), pages 97-109.
    2. Balakrishnan, N. & So, H.Y. & Ling, M.H., 2015. "EM algorithm for one-shot device testing with competing risks under exponential distribution," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 129-140.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lu Yao & Taotao Cheng & Jiao Luo & Xintian Liu, 2026. "Weibull distribution-based reliability evaluation of cutting tool via improved Bayesian-Bootstrap method," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 240(1), pages 185-199, February.
    2. Mitra Kharabati & Morteza Amini & Mohammad Arashi, 2026. "Variational inference for sparse poisson regression," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 1-50, April.
    3. Franco Bagnoli & Tommaso Matteuzzi, 2025. "Metastability in the diluted parallel Ising model," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 98(10), pages 1-10, October.
    4. Yuanying Zhao & Xingde Duan, 2022. "Bayesian Adaptive Lasso for Regression Models with Nonignorable Missing Responses," Journal of Mathematics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2022(1).
    5. Matthias Schmal & Patrick Mäder, 2026. "Reliable uncertainty estimates in deep learning with efficient Metropolis-Hastings algorithms," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 17(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Lindhe, Adam & Orrenius, Johan, 2026. "Defining Geographic Markets Through Choice Sets: An Empirical Method Applied to Real Estate Brokerage," Working Paper Series 1558, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    7. Wu, Shuo-Jye & Huang, Syuan-Rong, 2017. "Planning two or more level constant-stress accelerated life tests with competing risks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 1-8.
    8. Man-Ho Ling, 2022. "Optimal Constant-Stress Accelerated Life Test Plans for One-Shot Devices with Components Having Exponential Lifetimes under Gamma Frailty Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-13, March.
    9. Ye-Mao Xia & Jian-Wei Gou, 2016. "Assessing Heterogeneity for Factor Analysis Model with Continuous and Ordinal Outcomes," Journal of Applied Mathematics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2016(1).
    10. Andrés Ramírez–Hassan & Juan David Rengifo–Castro & Miguel Manzur & Estephania Rueda-Ramírez, 2025. "Approximate Bayesian computation to estimate persistent and transient efficiency in stochastic frontier panel data models," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 145-166, October.
    11. Xiao, Sinan & Nowak, Wolfgang, 2026. "Reliability sensitivity analysis with multiple failure domains based on an extended two-stage Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 266(PA).
    12. Liu, Jie & Liu, Guiwen & Cao, Ke & Pan, Mi & Wang, Neng, 2026. "Sequential deterioration prediction of regional-scale building stock combining a two-phase regime-switching Markov model with the improved Dempster-Shafer evidence theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    13. Adam T Biggs & Joseph A Hamilton & Rachel R Markwald, 2025. "Challenges of incorporating wounded personnel into small arms combat simulations," The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, , vol. 22(2), pages 207-214, April.
    14. Xiaojun Zhu & Kai Liu, 2022. "Reliability of one-shot device with generalized gamma lifetime under cyclic accelerated life-test," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 236(6), pages 1007-1023, December.
    15. Amal S. Hassan & Ehab M. Almetwally, 2026. "Statistical Inference for Multi-Stress-Strength Reliability Under Inverse Weibull Distribution with Progressive Type II Censoring and Random Removal," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 88(1), pages 252-291, February.
    16. Adam T Biggs & Joseph A Hamilton & Rachel R Markwald, 2025. "Identifying appropriate scenario termination rules for squad-level simulations of warfighter lethality," The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, , vol. 22(4), pages 521-528, October.
    17. Tabandeh, Armin & Jia, Gaofeng & Gardoni, Paolo, 2026. "Langevin importance sampling for reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 266(PA).
    18. Abi I. Riley & Marta Blangiardo & Frédéric B. Piel & Andrew Beddows & Sean Beevers & Gary W. Fuller & Paul Agnew & Monica Pirani, 2026. "A Bayesian Multisource Fusion Model for Spatiotemporal PM2.5$$ {\mathrm{PM}}_{2.5} $$ in an Urban Setting," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), January.
    19. Vikas Barnwal & C. P. Yadav & M. S. Panwar, 2026. "Objective Bayesian approach for recall-based time-to-event studies: an application to breastfeeding data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 1-26, June.
    20. Zhang, Fode & Shi, Yimin, 2016. "Geometry of exponential family with competing risks and censored data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 446(C), pages 234-245.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:239:y:2025:i:5:p:1041-1060. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.