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Capital Flows and Credit Expansions in Turkey

Author

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  • Özgür Orhangazi

    (Department of Economics, Kadir Has University, Istanbul, Turkey)

Abstract

Literature on capital flows identifies various channels through which capital inflows could create financial fragility and economic instability in “developing and emerging economies.†Domestic credit expansion is one such channel. Capital inflows can lead to rapid expansion of domestic credit, even create credit bubbles, and thus result in an increased fragility of the economy. I analyze the link between private capital inflows and bank credit to the private sector in the case of Turkey between 2003 and 2013 and ask whether surges in private capital inflows accelerate growth of credit. I employ a logit model to investigate the link between capital inflows and periods of rapid credit expansion. The findings suggest that net private capital inflows, after controlling for other determinants of credit, are positively correlated with periods of rapid credit expansion.

Suggested Citation

  • Özgür Orhangazi, 2014. "Capital Flows and Credit Expansions in Turkey," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 46(4), pages 509-516, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:reorpe:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:509-516
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Özgür Orhangazi & A. Erinç Yeldan, 2021. "The Re‐making of the Turkish Crisis," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 52(3), pages 460-503, May.
    2. Doruk, Ömer Tuğsal & Pastore, Francesco, 2020. "School to Work Transition and Macroeconomic Conditions in the Turkish Economy," GLO Discussion Paper Series 730, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    3. Ilias Alami, 2019. "Post-Crisis Capital Controls in Developing and Emerging Countries: Regaining Policy Space? A Historical Materialist Engagement," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 629-649, December.
    4. Engin Yilmaz & Bora Suslu, 2016. "Turkish Non-Core Bank Liabilities," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 14(1), pages 75-92.
    5. Yusuf Yıldırım & Anirban Sanyal, 2022. "Evaluating the Effectiveness of Early Warning Indicators: An Application of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Approach to Panel Data," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 69(4), pages 557-597, December.
    6. Zeeshan Nezami Ansari & Muzffar Hussain Dar & Shadman Zafar, 2023. "Do capital inflows affect domestic bank credit? Empirical evidence from India," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Mara, Mirza Yuniar Isnaeni & Purwanto, Nur M.Adhi & Kurniati, Ina Nurmalia & Fauziah, Nanda Rizki & Aqmaliyah, Euis, 2021. "Capital flow and banking credit in Indonesia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 298-310.
    8. Mehmet Ufuk Tutan & Al Campbell, 2016. "Foreign Private Capital-Led Growth," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 48(4), pages 595-602, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital flows; credit booms; credit expansions; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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