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Modeling Strategic Threats

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  • Melvin M. Sakurai

    (Research Information Services, Honolulu, Hawaii)

Abstract

This study evaluates the importance of accurately modeling strategic threats in complex multilateral conflict-of-interest decision problems. The objective is to improve prescriptive accuracy when cooperative n-person game theory is applied to the analysis of such problems. A competitive experiment compares the von Neumann-Morgenstern characteristic function v and Harsanyi function H in terms of descriptive accuracy. Results indicate that H is significantly more accurate than v. This suggests that strategic threats may be an important factor in modeling cooperative games.

Suggested Citation

  • Melvin M. Sakurai, 1990. "Modeling Strategic Threats," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(1), pages 74-91, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:34:y:1990:i:1:p:74-91
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002790034001004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kormendi, Roger C. & Plott, Charles R., 1982. "Committee decisions under alternative procedural rules : An experimental study applying a new non-monetary method of preference inducement," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 3(2-3), pages 175-195.
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