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Hindu–Muslim Fertility Differentials in India: Indirect Estimation at the District Level from Census 2011

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  • Saswata Ghosh

Abstract

This article estimates the total fertility rate (TFR) for the overall population in major Indian states by employing Arriaga variation of the P/F ratio method and the relational Gompertz model. The article uses the 2011 Census data on average parity and the current fertility schedule. Estimation of TFRs at the state level by employing Arriaga variation of the P/F ratio method strongly corresponds with Sample Registration System (SRS) compared to those derived from the relational Gompertz model. Thus, Arriaga variation of the P/F ratio method was retained to estimate the Hindu–Muslim fertility differentials for 618 districts in India from all states except Jammu and Kashmir. Comparing the TFRs obtained from the analyses with indirect estimates of TFRs from the 2001 Census, the analysis reveals that the overall fertility transition in India has been steady during the last decade. Fertility transition has been underway for both Hindus and Muslims, at a varying pace, when compared to the state-level indirect estimates of the 2001 Census. Though the overall convergence of fertility between Hindus and Muslims has been underway, significant regional variations persist.

Suggested Citation

  • Saswata Ghosh, 2018. "Hindu–Muslim Fertility Differentials in India: Indirect Estimation at the District Level from Census 2011," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 12(1), pages 37-51, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inddev:v:12:y:2018:i:1:p:37-51
    DOI: 10.1177/0973703018780155
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hania Zlotnik & Kenneth Hill, 1981. "The use of hypothetical cohorts in estimating demographic parameters under conditions of changing fertility and mortality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 18(1), pages 103-122, February.
    2. Christophe Z. Guilmoto & S. Irudaya Rajan, 2001. "Spatial Patterns of Fertility Transition in Indian Districts," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 27(4), pages 713-738, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chouhan, Pradip & Saha, Jay & Zaveri, Ankita, 2020. "Covariates of fertility behavior among ever-married women in West Bengal, India: Analysis of the National Family Health Survey-4," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).

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