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Cohort Size and the Earnings Growth of Young Workers

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  • Mark C. Berger

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of cohort size on human capital investment decisions and early career earnings growth. In general, larger cohorts experience slower earnings growth and flatter earnings profiles than smaller cohorts, a finding that contradicts results reported by Welch. This implies that the negative effect of cohort size on earnings levels found in past research not only persists with age but actually increases. Also, increases in cohort size appear to depress the earnings growth of college graduates more than that of any other schooling group, again contrary to Welch's findings but consistent with evidence presented by Freeman.

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  • Mark C. Berger, 1984. "Cohort Size and the Earnings Growth of Young Workers," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 37(4), pages 582-591, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ilrrev:v:37:y:1984:i:4:p:582-591
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    Cited by:

    1. Diane J. Macunovich, 1999. "The fortunes of one's birth: Relative cohort size and the youth labor market in the United States," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 12(2), pages 215-272.
    2. David Neumark & Maysen Yen, 2020. "Relative Sizes of Age Cohorts and Labor Force Participation of Older Workers," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(1), pages 1-31, February.
    3. Sourushe Zandvakili, 2002. "Trends in Earnings Inequality among Young Adults," Review of Social Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(1), pages 93-107.
    4. Kevin Murphy & Mark Plant & Finis Welch, 1984. "Cohort Size and Earnings," UCLA Economics Working Papers 352, UCLA Department of Economics.
    5. Richard Freeman & David G. Blanchflower, 2000. "Introduction to "Youth Employment and Joblessness in Advanced Countries"," NBER Chapters, in: Youth Employment and Joblessness in Advanced Countries, pages 1-16, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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