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Forecasting the Effects of a Negative Income Tax Program

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  • Terry R. Johnson
  • John H. Pencavel

Abstract

This paper outlines a scheme that forecasts the change in net earnings or in hours worked that results from the introduction of a negative income tax (NIT) program. The authors illustrate this scheme by estimating labor supply functions for married men, married women, and single women who participated in the Seattle-Denver Income Maintenance Experiments. These functions are then used to simulate the effects of several NIT programs. The findings suggest that changes in the wage rate of an individual covered by an NIT program result in important changes in the hours of work of the individual's spouse.

Suggested Citation

  • Terry R. Johnson & John H. Pencavel, 1982. "Forecasting the Effects of a Negative Income Tax Program," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 35(2), pages 221-234, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ilrrev:v:35:y:1982:i:2:p:221-234
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    Cited by:

    1. Petra E. Todd & Kenneth I. Wolpin, 2008. "Ex Ante Evaluation of Social Programs," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 91-92, pages 263-291.
    2. Mery Ferrando & Cristian Pérez Muñoz & Gonzalo Salas, 2013. "Impuestos negativos a la renta en Uruguay: ¿una política redistributiva alternativa?," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, January.
    3. David Card & Stefano DellaVigna & Ulrike Malmendier, 2011. "The Role of Theory in Field Experiments," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 25(3), pages 39-62, Summer.
    4. repec:eee:labchp:v:1:y:1986:i:c:p:3-102 is not listed on IDEAS

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