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Self-Deferral, HIV Infection, and the Blood Supply

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Listed:
  • Edward H. Kaplan

    (Yale School of Organization and Management)

  • Alvin Novick

    (Yale University)

Abstract

This article evaluates the effectiveness of self-deferral, a social screen implemented to protect the U.S. blood supply from HIV infection prior to the advent of laboratory testing of donated blood. Following a brief discussion of the history of this program, mathematical models are developed to estimate the number of infectious transfusions ultimately leading to AIDS that occurred prior to self-deferral. The analysis suggests that a significant percentage of the maximum number of AIDS-indicated infectious transfusions preventable were averted during the 2 years from implementation of self-deferral to the start of laboratory screening.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward H. Kaplan & Alvin Novick, 1990. "Self-Deferral, HIV Infection, and the Blood Supply," Evaluation Review, , vol. 14(6), pages 686-700, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:14:y:1990:i:6:p:686-700
    DOI: 10.1177/0193841X9001400609
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Edward H. Kaplan, 1989. "What are the Risks of Risky Sex? Modeling the AIDS Epidemic," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 37(2), pages 198-209, April.
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