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Dynamics of Urbanization: The Empirical Validation of the Replacement Hypothesis

Author

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  • D N Rao

    (Centre for Economic Studies and Planning, School of Social Sciences, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi-110067, India)

  • Karmeshu

    (School of Computer and Systems Sciences, Jawahalal Nehru University, New Delhi-110067, India)

  • V P Jain

    (School of Correspondence Courses and Continuing Education, University of Delhi, Delhi-110007, India)

Abstract

A model of urbanization based on the ‘replacement hypothesis’ is presented. The model is empirically validated from cross-sectional time-series data from eleven countries and the fits are found to be extremely good. Intercountry variations in the growth of urbanization are explained on the basis of the structure of the economy as reflected in the sectoral composition of the national output. The phenomenon of urbanization exhibits remarkable resilience in its growth trajectory. The model is also used to make projections of urbanization for the countries studied.

Suggested Citation

  • D N Rao & Karmeshu & V P Jain, 1989. "Dynamics of Urbanization: The Empirical Validation of the Replacement Hypothesis," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 16(3), pages 289-295, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:16:y:1989:i:3:p:289-295
    DOI: 10.1068/b160289
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrei Rogers, 1985. "Regional Population Projection Models," Book Chapters, in: Grant I. Thrall (ed.),Scientific Geography Series, pages 52, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University.
    2. repec:brs:ecchap:09 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Andrei Rogers, 1985. "Regional Population Projection Models," Wholbk, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, number 09 edited by Grant I. Thrall, November-.
    4. Rogers, Andrei, 1982. "Sources of Urban Population Growth and Urbanization, 1950-2000: A Demographic Accounting," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(3), pages 483-506, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Yanguang, 2014. "Urban chaos and replacement dynamics in nature and society," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 373-384.
    2. Chen, Yanguang & Huang, Linshan, 2019. "Modeling growth curve of fractal dimension of urban form of Beijing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1038-1056.

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