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Detecting Determinants In Tourist Seasonality Of Greece: A Binary Logistic Regression Approach

Author

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  • Thomas KRABOKOUKIS

    (Department of Planning and Regional Development, University of Thessaly, Pedion Areos, Volos, 38334, Greece)

  • Dimitrios TSIOTAS

    (Department of Regional and Economic Development, Agricultural University of Athens, Greece, Nea Poli, Amfissa, 33100, Greece, Department of Planning and Regional Development, University of Thessaly, Pedion Areos, Volos, 38334, Greece)

  • Serafeim POLYZOS

    (Department of Planning and Regional Development, University of Thessaly, Pedion Areos, Volos, 38334, Greece)

Abstract

Tourism seasonality is a complex phenomenon ranked as one of the most important and timeless issues for regional and tourism development. This paper builds on binary logistic regression to examine the determinants of tourism seasonality. The proposed method classifies the tourism seasonality of the Greek prefectures into two groups (high seasonality, low seasonality), which are examined in terms of their natural, geographic, and infrastructure characteristics. The study aims to identify the key factors of tourism seasonality, on monthly data of tourism overnight stays for the year 2018, both for foreign and domestic visitors. The overall analysis proposes a useful tool for tourism management, and regional policy because it allows considering in common the different dimensions of the tourism seasonality phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas KRABOKOUKIS & Dimitrios TSIOTAS & Serafeim POLYZOS, 2021. "Detecting Determinants In Tourist Seasonality Of Greece: A Binary Logistic Regression Approach," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 16(1), pages 5-19, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:rom:terumm:v:16:y:2021:i:1:p:5-19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cuccia, Tiziana & Rizzo, Ilde, 2011. "Tourism seasonality in cultural destinations: Empirical evidence from Sicily," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 589-595.
    2. Dimitrios TSIOTAS & Thomas KRABOKOUKIS & Serafeim POLYZOS, 2020. "Detecting Interregional Patterns In Tourism Seasonality Of Greece: A Principal Components Analysis Approach," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 91-112, June.
    3. Lo Magno, Giovanni L. & Ferrante, Mauro & De Cantis, Stefano, 2017. "A new index for measuring seasonality: A transportation cost approach," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 55-65.
    4. Andreas PAPATHEODOROU & Pavlos ARVANITIS, 2014. "Tourism And The Economic Crisis In Greece - Regional Perspectives," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 39, pages 183-203.
    5. Konstantinos Andriotis, 2005. "Seasonality in Crete: Problem or a Way of Life?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 11(2), pages 207-224, June.
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    1. Jelena DURKIN BADURINA & Daniela SOLDIC FRLETA & Larry DWYER, 2022. "Meet Sceptics, Neutrals And Believers: An Alternative Approach To Analysing Residents’ Attitudes Towards Tourism In Urban Destinations," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 17(1), pages 24-44, February.

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