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The Problem of Reliable Planning of the Key Indicators of the Electricity Distribution Network Development in the Russian Federation

Author

Listed:
  • Mozgovaya, Oksana

    (The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

This article analyses the system of planning the electricity distribution network development indicators existing in the Russian Federation. The levels of the electricity planning system and its structure are also studied. The author presents a retrospective analysis of the electricity consumption planning for the last 7 years, which shows that the previously studied electricity consumption planning was based on very optimistic estimates that had never been implemented in practice. The article specifies the main planning problems of the distribution network companies’ key indicators and estimates the methods used in the middle and long­term planning of electricity consumption. The author emphasizes the main factors affecting the quality of planning the key indicators of the electricity distribution network development. They are low quality of statistical information and absence of a long­term retrospective comparative data base; lack of a comprehensive system of data base collection, aggregation and publication of reports; application of different calculation methodologies of the industry’s key indicators; and organizational and structural changes in the offices responsible for statistical data aggregation (Federal State Statistics Service (FSSS), Federal Antimonopoly Service of the Russian Federation (FAS), etc.). Finally, the article offers proposals and recommendations on improving the planning system of the electricity distribution network of the Russian Federation aimed at raising the reliability of forecasts and, consequently, decreasing the risks of investing in the energy infrastructure.

Suggested Citation

  • Mozgovaya, Oksana, 2017. "The Problem of Reliable Planning of the Key Indicators of the Electricity Distribution Network Development in the Russian Federation," Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 210-221, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep1738
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Синицын М. В., 2012. "Иностранные Инвестиции В Российскую Электроэнергетику," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 5, pages 141-150.
    2. Малахов В. А., 2009. "Подходы К Прогнозированию Спроса На Электроэнергию В России," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 2, pages 57-62.
    3. Гальперова Елена Васильевна, 2011. "Энергопотребление Населения И Сферы Услуг России На Фоне Мировых Тенденций," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 3, pages 93-99.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    investments; development planning; prognosis; electricity distribution networks; network companies; electricity consumption; electricity network industry; energy.;

    JEL classification:

    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • L12 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Monopoly; Monopolization Strategies
    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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