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Cox Regression Models for Unemployment Duration in Romania, Austria, Slovenia, Croatia, and Macedonia

Author

Listed:
  • Kavkler, Alenka

    () (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Maribor, Slovenia)

  • Danacica, Daniela-Emanuela

    () (Faculty of Economics, Constantin Brâncusi University of Târgu-Jiu, Romania)

  • Babucea, Ana Gabriela

    () (Faculty of Economics, Constantin Brâncusi University of Târgu-Jiu, Romania)

  • Bicanic, Ivo

    () (Faculty of Economics, University of Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Bohm, Bernhard

    () (Institute of Mathematical Methods in Economics, Vienna University of Technology, Austria)

  • Tevdovski, Dragan

    () (Faculty of Economics, University Ss. Cyril and Methodius, Skopje, Macedonia)

  • Tosevska, Katerina

    () (Faculty of Economics, University Ss. Cyril and Methodius, Skopje, Macedonia)

  • Borsic, Darja

    () (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Maribor, Slovenia)

Abstract

This paper applies the semi-parametric Cox regression approach to model unemployment duration in five Central and Eastern European countries. The Cox proportional hazards models and the Cox regression models with a time-dependent covariate are developed, and the results are interpreted and compared. The impact of the variables age, gender, education level, and region on the hazard ratio is discussed. The results for the time-dependent variable age imply that the longer the unemployment spell lasts, the less pronounced the differences between various age groups are.

Suggested Citation

  • Kavkler, Alenka & Danacica, Daniela-Emanuela & Babucea, Ana Gabriela & Bicanic, Ivo & Bohm, Bernhard & Tevdovski, Dragan & Tosevska, Katerina & Borsic, Darja, 2009. "Cox Regression Models for Unemployment Duration in Romania, Austria, Slovenia, Croatia, and Macedonia," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(2), pages 81-104, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:6:y:2009:i:2:p:81-104
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Predrag Trpeski & Dragan Tevdovski, 2015. "Nairu Estimates In Transitional Economy With Extremely High Unemployment Rate: The Case Of Republic Of Macedonia," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, vol. 60(206), pages 167-186, July - Se.
    2. Zaharia Marian & Balacescu Aniela, 2012. "A Quantitative Approach On Labour Force In Romania In 2003 -2011," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4, pages 63-68, December.
    3. Danacica, Daniela Emanuela & Cirnu, Doru, 2014. "Unemployment Duration and Exit States of Disabled People in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 35-52, March.
    4. Trpeski, Predrag & Tevdovski, Dragan, 2014. "NAIRU estimates in transitional economy with extremely high unemployment rate: the case of the Republic of Macedonia," MPRA Paper 56374, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Daniela-Emanuela Danacica & Raluca Mazilescu, 2012. "Characteristics Of Long-Term Unemployment Spells In Romania," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4, pages 122-129, December.
    6. Daniela-Emanuela Dănăcică & Ana-Gabriela Babucea & Doru Cîrnu, 2011. "Does Age and Gender Influence the Duration of Unemployment for Isced 5 Unemployed Persons?," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 121-128, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    survival analysis; Cox proportional hazards model; Cox regression model with a time-dependent covariate; unemployment duration;

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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