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¿Existe espacio para políticas anti-shock en Bolivia?

Listed author(s):
  • Gemio, Luis Carlos

    (Universidad Católica Boliviana)

  • Wiebelt, Manfred

    (Kiel Institute for World Economics)

Las perspectivas de crecimiento de mediano plazo de Bolivia son prometedoras, pero podrían perderse debido al descontento social y la inestabilidad política si el país no resuelve sus problemas económicos de corto plazo, resultantes tanto de shocks externos como de factores internos. Considerando este panorama, este documento analiza las posibilidades que tiene la economía boliviana de aplicar políticas anti-shock a fin de mitigar los efectos de corto plazo de los shocks. Para este propósito se describe un modelo de equilibrio general computable (MEGC) recursivo-dinámico que incluye a los sectores real y financiero y que captura los aspectos particulares que caracterizan el funcionamiento de la economía boliviana. El modelo es usado tanto para evaluar los efectos de los shocks externos como para probar la efectividad de diferentes políticas.

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Article provided by Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana in its journal Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico.

Volume (Year): (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (Septiembre)
Pages: 37-68

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Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:0102
Contact details of provider: Postal:
Universidad católica Boliviana San Pablo, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas, Av. 14 de septiembre 4807. Obrajes, La Paz, Bolivia

Phone: (591-2) 784159
Fax: (591-2) 786707
Web page:

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