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Modeling Life Expectancy Improvement among Kuwaiti Population

Author

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  • Al-Ramadhan, Muhammad

    (Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research, Techno-Economics Division)

Abstract

Similar to other Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, Kuwait has experienced a tremendous decline in mortality rates in recent decades. During this time period, life expectancy increased only moderately. Positive socioeconomic changes caused by greater prosperity are believed to have greatly contributed to the increase in longevity of the Kuwaiti population. However, the extent to which each socioeconomic indicator has contributed to the decline in mortality among Kuwaitis should be identified and quantified. This study investigates the factors underlying the observed increase in Kuwaiti life expectancy using time-series data for specific socioeconomic variables from 1970 to 2014, and a linear model is then developed for life expectancy at birth. The results confirm that better literacy rate and more government expenditures on health care and greater caloric intake are important factors that contributed to the increase of life expectancy at birth among Kuwaitis. In addition, per capita GDP income produced mixed results in respect to the short and long runs. Modellizzazione dei miglioramenti nelle aspettative di vita nella popolazione del Kuwait Al pari di quanto accaduto negli altri paesi del Consiglio di Cooperazione del Golfo (GCC), anche nel Kuwait si è registrata un’importante diminuzione nei tassi di mortalità negli ultimi decenni. I positivi cambiamenti socio-economici causati dalla maggiore prosperità sono ritenuti una delle cause dell’aumento della longevità tra la popolazione del Kuwait. Questo studio esamina i fattori alla base di questo incremento nell’aspettativa di vita in Kuwait utilizzando dati time-series per variabili socioeconomiche specifiche nel periodo 1970-2014, sviluppando altresì un modello lineare per l’aspettativa di vita alla nascita. I risultati confermano che un maggior tasso di scolarizzazione, una maggior spesa pubblica destinata alla sanità e un’alimentazione più calorica sono fattori importanti che hanno contribuito all’aumento dell’aspettativa di vita alla nascita in Kuwait. Inoltre, il PIL pro-capite ha dato risultati misti rispetto al breve ed al lungo periodo.

Suggested Citation

  • Al-Ramadhan, Muhammad, 2018. "Modeling Life Expectancy Improvement among Kuwaiti Population," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 71(1), pages 29-50.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0819
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Socioeconomic Factors; Life Expectancy at Birth; Kuwait;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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