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Regional Economic Impacts of Large Projects: A General Equilibrium Application to Cross-Border Infrastructure

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  • Warr, Peter

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Menon, Jayant

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Yusuf, Arief Anshory

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

A general equilibrium framework is used to study the regional economic effects of infrastructure improvements designed to reduce the costs of interregional trade. The results suggest that in the short run the kind of transport cost reductions consistent with improvement of inter-regional transport facilities will produce a modest increase in inter-regional trade volumes in both directions. This coincides with a small increase in real consumption in both regions and correspondingly small reductions in poverty incidence. Over a longer period, the benefits to both regions, including reductions in poverty incidence, are much larger, as investors respond to the changed structure of incentives with new capital investments, and as workers move to regions of greater return to their labor. Because these benefits are significant in both regions, the results do not confirm the common presumption that the benefits from cross-border infrastructure projects occur only, or overwhelmingly, in the richer region.

Suggested Citation

  • Warr, Peter & Menon, Jayant & Yusuf, Arief Anshory, 2010. "Regional Economic Impacts of Large Projects: A General Equilibrium Application to Cross-Border Infrastructure," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 27(1), pages 104-134.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbadr:2714
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    Cited by:

    1. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Senesouphap, Chanthachonh & Yawdhacksa, Somnack, 2012. "Resource Boom, Growth and Poverty in Laos: what can we learn from other countries and policy simulations?," PEP Policy Briefs 161661, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP).
    2. A S M Abdul Quium, 2019. "Transport Corridors for Wider Socio–Economic Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Yuventus Effendi & Budy Resosudarmo, 2022. "Inter-regional System Of Analysis For East Asia: A Manual," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 202201, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Oct 2022.
    4. Jayant Menon, 2013. "Narrowing the development divide in ASEAN: the role of policy," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 27(2), pages 25-51, November.
    5. Jayant Menon, 2016. "Comment on “Economic Impacts of Improved Connectivity for ASEAN: An Application of the Geographical Simulation Model”," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 11(2), pages 309-310, July.

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