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The Welfare State and Economic Growth – Econometric Evidence from Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Richard Reichel

    ("FOM University of Applied Sciences, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg")

Abstract

"This paper attempts to analyze the growth effects of social security expenditures in Germany from a time series perspective. Therefore, a regression model based on standard determinants of growth is specified and estimated as a vector error correction model. Results show that there is a bidirectional relationship between growth and social security expenditures. In the short run, social security expenditures and growth rates are inversely related. Lower or even negative growth rates cause higher expenditures of the welfare state. In the long run, there is also an inverse relationship, but the direction of causality changes. Higher social security spending triggers lower growth rates. Robustness tests confirm the stability of the results."

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Reichel, 2022. "The Welfare State and Economic Growth – Econometric Evidence from Germany," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 14(3), pages 343-366, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ren:journl:v:14:y:2022:i:3:p:343-366
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.15353/rea.v14i3.1973
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic Growth; Welfare State; Social Security;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
    • H52 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Education

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