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Direction of Change at the Bucharest Stock Exchange


  • Radu Lupu

    () (Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, Romania)

  • Cristiana Tudor

    () (Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, Romania)


The objective of our paper is to analyze the possibility to provide a forecast for the sign of the financial asset returns using the empirical prices of stocks listed at the Bucharest Stock Exchange. Previous research provided by Christoffersen and Diebold (2004) among others show that even if both the sign and the absolute value of returns are deterministic, their composure (the returns themselves) do not show autocorrelations. We focus on the deterministic nature of the signs by implementing a pure empirical analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Radu Lupu & Cristiana Tudor, 2008. "Direction of Change at the Bucharest Stock Exchange," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 11(27), pages 165-185, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:rej:journl:v:11:y:2008:i:27:p:165-185

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Gatignon, Hubert & Anderson, Erin, 1988. "The Multinational Corporation's Degree of Control over Foreign Subsidiaries: An Empirical Test of a Transaction Cost Explanation," Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 305-336, Fall.
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    Cited by:

    1. Panait, Iulian & Slavescu, Ecaterina Oana, 2011. "Volatility and causality study of the daily returns on the Bucharest Stock Exchange during 2007-2011," MPRA Paper 41786, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item


    financial asset returns; empirical analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates


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