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  • Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe

    (Rutgers University)

  • Martin Uribe

    (University of Pennsylvania)


This paper studies, within a general equilibrium model, the dynamics of Y2K-type shocks: anticipated, permanent losses in output whose magnitude can be lessened by investing resources in advance. The implied dynamics replicate three observed characteristics of those triggered by the Y2K bug: (1) Precautionary investment: investment in solving the Y2K problem begins before the year 2000; (2) Investment delay: although economic agents have been aware of the Y2K problem since the 1960s, investment did not begin until recently; (3) Investment acceleration: as the new millennium approaches, the amount of resources allocated to solving the Y2K problem increases. In addition, the model predicts that Y2K investment peaks at the end of 1999. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Suggested Citation

  • Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 1999. "Y2k," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 2(4), pages 850-856, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:issued:v:2:y:1999:i:4:p:850-856
    DOI: 10.1006/redy.1999.0065
    Note: A technical appendix is available under handle RePEc:red:append:grohe99

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    Y2K problem; investment dynamics;

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles


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