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Evolucion de la demanda Mexicana de importaciones: 1940-2009

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Romero

    (El Colegio de Mexico)

Abstract

El proposito de este trabajo es especificar y estimar una funcion agregada deimportaciones para Mexicoy discutir las implicaciones de politica de los resultados. La estimacionestabasada en datos trimestrales de importaciones reales, PIB real y precios relativos durante el periodo 1940-2009. En el analisisempirico de la demanda agregada de importaciones de Mexico se usan tecnicas de correccion de errores. En el estudio encontramos un quiebre estructural despues de 1982, lo que nos llevo a estimar dos funciones de demanda de importaciones para dos periodos: 1962q1-1982q4 y 1988q1-2009q4. Nuestros estimados de la funcion de demanda agregada de importaciones para Mexico sugieren que la demanda de importaciones, en el segundo periodo, se torno excesivamente dependiente del PIB y la elasticidad precio de la demanda disminuyo. Esto volvio inefectivas la política fiscal y cambiaria para regular el ciclo económico.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Romero, 2012. "Evolucion de la demanda Mexicana de importaciones: 1940-2009," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 9(1), pages 7-34, Enero-Jun.
  • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p:7-34
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos A. Ibarra & Robert A. Blecker, 2016. "Structural change, the real exchange rate and the balance of payments in Mexico, 1960–2012," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 507-539.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mexico; importaciones; propension a importar; politica fiscal; politica cambiaria;

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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