IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prs/ecstat/estat_0336-1454_1986_num_190_1_2481.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Consommation : santé et loisirs au premier plan

Author

Listed:
  • Dominique Darmon
  • Philippe L'Hardy

Abstract

[eng] Consumption : health and leasure in the foreground - In the year 2000, the French will spend more on health care and even on housing than on food. The greatest growth will be seen in leasure and transport expenditures. The part of the French budget devoted to food will continue to decrease. Expenditures on clothing and housing will probably reach a ceiling. Such are the principal consequential trends resulting from consumption projection models. . The estimates prove to be more difficult at a more detailed level. Price hypotheses may shift or even reverse evolution directions where certain « sensitive » products are concerned. Thus, doting expenditures will continue to increase at a slow rhythm if prices remain stable, but, given the hypothesis of a rise in relative prices, they could decrease in absolute value. [spa] Consumo : salud y ocio en primer termino - En el año 2000, el Frances gastará más en cuidados medicos, asi como para alojarse y para la alimentación. Los gastos de ocio y de transportes experimentarán en incremento más fuerte. La parte de alimentación en el presupuesto seguirá decreciendo. Los gastos para vestir y de alojamiento deberian de quedar en los limites. Tales son las principales tendencias pesadas que se desprenden de los modelos de proyección de consumo. . La prevision se verifica más delicada a nivel pormenorizado. Las hipótesis relativas a los precios pueden hasta modificar para ciertos productos « sensibles » el sentido de las evolutiones, pues el gasto para el vestir seguirá incrementándose a ritmo poco elevado y los precios permanecen estables más, podrian bajar en valor absoluto en la hipótesis de un alza de precios relativos. [fre] En l'an 2000, le Français dépensera plus pour se soigner et même pour se loger que pour se nourrir. Les dépenses de loisirs et de transports connaîtront la croissance la plus forte. La part de l'alimentation dans le budget des Français continuera de décroître. Les dépenses d'habillement et de logement devraient plafonner. Telles sont les principales tendances lourdes issues des modèles de projection de consommation. . La prévision s'avère plus délicate à un niveau détaillé. Les hypothèses concernant les prix peuvent infléchir, voire inverser pour certains produits « sensibles » le sens des évolutions. Ainsi, la dépense d'habillement continuera de croître à un rythme faible si les prix restent stables, mais pourrait décroître en valeur absolue dans l'hypothèse d'une hausse des prix relatifs.

Suggested Citation

  • Dominique Darmon & Philippe L'Hardy, 1986. "Consommation : santé et loisirs au premier plan," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 190(1), pages 55-69.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1986_num_190_1_2481
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1986.2481
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1986.2481
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3406/estat.1986.2481
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.persee.fr/doc/estat_0336-1454_1986_num_190_1_2481
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3406/estat.1986.2481?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philippe L'Hardy & Alain Trognon, 1980. "Le mythe du nouveau consommateur," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 123(1), pages 13-22.
    2. Alain Charraud, 1984. "Formes et évolution de la consommation médicale aux différents âges de la vie," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 163(1), pages 47-66.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dominique Darmon & Jean-Michel Hourriez & Philippe L'Hardy, 1991. "Consommation : l'effet du vieillissement," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 243(1), pages 89-104.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Didier Blanchet & Denis Kessler, 1990. "Prévoir les effets économiques du vieillissement," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 233(1), pages 9-17.
    2. Alain Charraud & Olivier Choquet, 1984. "L'inégalité devant les incapacités physiques," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 170(1), pages 25-36.
    3. Pierre Mormiche, 1986. "Consommation médicale : les disparités sociales n'ont pas disparu," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 189(1), pages 19-38.
    4. Elisabeth Vlassenko & Jean-Charles Willard, 1984. "Absentéisme : le poids des facteurs collectifs," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 164(1), pages 39-51.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1986_num_190_1_2481. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Equipe PERSEE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.persee.fr/collection/estat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.