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Présentation et évaluation du courant des cycles réels

  • Jean-Olivier Hairault

[fre] Présentation et évaluation du courant des cycles réels, par Jean-Olivier Hairault. Le modèle de King, Plosser et Rebelo (1988) permet de comprendre le développement de différents axes de recherche, du courant des cycles réels qui tendent à remettre en cause la primauté des chocs technologiques dans l'explication des fluctuations économiques. Son évaluation sur les Etats-Unis et sur la France révèle son incapacité à rendre compte de faits stylisés particulièrement importants caractérisant le fonctionnement du marché du travail. [eng] Presentation and Evaluation of Real Business Cycles, by Jean-Olivier Hairault. The King, Plosser and Rebelo model (1988) clarifies the development of different directions of research in real business cycles, which tend to question the pre-eminence of technological shocks in the explanation of economic fluctuations. Its evaluation of the United States and France reveals its inability to take account of particularly important stylized events that characterize the functioning of the labour market. [spa] Presentación y evaluación de la corriente de los ciclos reaies ("real business cycle"), por Jean-Olivier Hairault. El modelo de King, Plosser y Rebelo (1988) permite comprender el desarrollo de distintos ejes de investigación de la corriente de los ciclos reaies que tienden a volver a poner en tela de juicio la primacía de los choques tecnológicos en la explicación de las fluctuaciones económicas. Su evaluación en los Estados Unidos de América y en Francia pone de maniflesto su incapacidad para dar cuenta de hechos estilizados particularmente importantes que caracterizan el funcionamiento del mercado del trabajo. [ger] Erläuterung und Bewertung des Real Business Cycle, von Jean-Olivier Hairault. Mit dem Modell von King, Plosser und Rebelo (1988) läßt sich die Entwicklung verschiedener Forschungsrichtungen des Real Business Cycle verstehen, die dazu neigen, den Primat der technologischen Schocks bei der Erklärung der Konjunkturschwankungen in Frage zu stellen. Die mit dem Modell vorgenommene Bewertung der Situation in den Vereinigten Staaten und in Frankreich zeigt jedoch dessen Unvermögen, besonders wichtige stilisierte Umstande zu erklären, die für das Funktionieren des Arbeitsmarktes kennzeichnend sind.

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Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Économie & prévision.

Volume (Year): 106 (1992)
Issue (Month): 5 ()
Pages: 1-22

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Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1992_num_106_5_5311
Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.1992.5311
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