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Evolution of global development cooperation: An analysis of aid flows with hierarchical stochastic block models

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  • Koji Oishi
  • Hiroto Ito
  • Yohsuke Murase
  • Hiroki Takikawa
  • Takuto Sakamoto

Abstract

Despite considerable scholarly attention on the institutional and normative aspects of development cooperation, its longitudinal dynamics unfolding at the global level have rarely been investigated. Focusing on aid, we examine the evolving global structure of development cooperation induced by aid flows in its entirety. Representing annual aid flows between donors and recipients from 1970 to 2013 as a series of networks, we apply hierarchical stochastic block models to extensive aid-flow data that cover not only the aid behavior of the major OECD donors but also that of other emerging donors, including China. Despite a considerable degree of external expansion and internal diversification of aid relations over the years, the analysis has uncovered a temporally persistent structure of aid networks. The latter comprises, on the one hand, a limited number of major donors with far-reaching resources and, on the other hand, a large number of mostly poor but globally well-connected recipients. The results cast doubt on the efficacy of recurrent efforts for “aid reform” in substantially changing the global aid flow pattern.

Suggested Citation

  • Koji Oishi & Hiroto Ito & Yohsuke Murase & Hiroki Takikawa & Takuto Sakamoto, 2022. "Evolution of global development cooperation: An analysis of aid flows with hierarchical stochastic block models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(8), pages 1-11, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0272440
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0272440
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stephen Brown, 2020. "The Rise and Fall of the Aid Effectiveness Norm," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 32(4), pages 1230-1248, September.
    2. Eugénia C. Heldt & Henning Schmidtke, 2019. "Explaining coherence in international regime complexes: How the World Bank shapes the field of multilateral development finance," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 1160-1186, November.
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