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The Impact of Climate Change on Major Agricultural Crops: Evidence from Punjab, Pakistan


  • Rehana Siddiqui

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Ghulam Samad

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Muhammad Nasir

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Hafiz Hanzla Jalil

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)


This study is underscoring the impact of climate change on the major agricultural crops in Punjab, Pakistan. These crops are Wheat, Rice, Cotton and Sugarcane. This is the first study of its nature to study the impact of scientific information’s on the stages of development of each crop in order to assess the impact of climate change on each stage of the crops. This detail scientific information’s obtained from Pakistan Agricultural Research Council (PARC), Islamabad, Cotton Research Institute, Faisalabad, Rice Research Institute, Kala Shah Kaku. Using panel data of districts of Punjab for the period 1980–2008, Fixed Effect Model is estimated. The findings show that both in short and in long term the impact of climate change on wheat productivity is non-negative, while the impact of climate change is negative for Rice, Cotton and Sugarcane.

Suggested Citation

  • Rehana Siddiqui & Ghulam Samad & Muhammad Nasir & Hafiz Hanzla Jalil, 2012. "The Impact of Climate Change on Major Agricultural Crops: Evidence from Punjab, Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 261-276.
  • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:51:y:2012:i:4:p:261-276

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    Cited by:

    1. Raza, Amar & Ahmad, Munir, 2015. "Analysing the Impact of Climate Change on Cotton Productivity in Punjab and Sindh, Pakistan," MPRA Paper 72867, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ashley Gorst & Ben Groom & Ali Dehlavi, 2015. "Crop productivity and adaptation to climate change in Pakistan," GRI Working Papers 189, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    3. Afzal, Muhammad & Ahmed, Tanvir & Ahmed, Gulzar, 2016. "Empirical Assessment of Climate Change on Major Agricultural Crops of Punjab, Pakistan," MPRA Paper 70958, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Jan 2016.
    4. repec:pid:journl:v:56:y:2017:i:2:p:163-187 is not listed on IDEAS

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