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Estimating bus passenger waiting times from incomplete bus arrivals data

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  • F McLeod

    (University of Southampton)

Abstract

This paper considers the problem of estimating bus passenger waiting times at bus stops using incomplete bus arrivals data. This is of importance to bus operators and regulators as passenger waiting time is a key performance measure. Average waiting times are usually estimated from bus headways, that is, time gaps between buses. It is both time-consuming and expensive to measure bus arrival times manually so methods using automatic vehicle location systems are attractive; however, these systems do not usually provide 100% data coverage and missing data are problematical. The paper contributes to the general theory of estimating headway variance using incomplete data. Various methods for replacing missing buses or discarding spurious bus headways are compared and tested on different data sets.

Suggested Citation

  • F McLeod, 2007. "Estimating bus passenger waiting times from incomplete bus arrivals data," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(11), pages 1518-1525, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:58:y:2007:i:11:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2602298
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602298
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kayhan Alamatsaz & Frédéric Quesnel & Ursula Eicker, 2024. "Enhancing Electric Shuttle Bus Efficiency: A Case Study on Timetabling and Scheduling Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-26, June.
    2. Barabino, Benedetto & Di Francesco, Massimo & Mozzoni, Sara, 2015. "Rethinking bus punctuality by integrating Automatic Vehicle Location data and passenger patterns," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 84-95.
    3. M Parzen & S Lipsitz & R Metters & G Fitzmaurice, 2010. "Correlation when data are missing," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(6), pages 1049-1056, June.
    4. Erfan Hassannayebi & Seyed Hessameddin Zegordi & Masoud Yaghini & Mohammad Reza Amin-Naseri, 2017. "Timetable optimization models and methods for minimizing passenger waiting time at public transit terminals," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 278-304, April.
    5. Büchel, Beda & Corman, Francesco, 2022. "Modeling conditional dependencies for bus travel time estimation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 592(C).

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