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Price-Wage Dynamics and Inflation in Socialist Economies: Empirical Models for Hungary and Poland

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  • Commander, Simon
  • Coricelli, Fabrizio

Abstract

This article analyzes the determinants of open inflation in transitional socialist economies, with reference to recent experience in Hungary and Poland. A simple inflation model is centered on the transmission process and on the short-run dynamics of inflation. Further incorporating a number of features specific to socialist economies and working with quarterly data, dynamic price, and wage equations are estimated. The estimated equations allow satisfactory exploration of the role and weight of foreign prices and domestic factors in propagating inflation. Foreign prices matter, but developments on the cost side are critical in relating exogenous, policy-driven adjustments to the price level to increases in the rate of inflation. The absence of conventional market-based, equilibrating mechanisms requires that nominal anchors, particularly wage restraints, feature prominently in any stabilization program adopted by reforming socialist economies. Copyright 1992 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Commander, Simon & Coricelli, Fabrizio, 1992. "Price-Wage Dynamics and Inflation in Socialist Economies: Empirical Models for Hungary and Poland," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 6(1), pages 33-53, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:6:y:1992:i:1:p:33-53
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    Cited by:

    1. Gheorghe Savoiu & Marian Siminica, 2016. "Disparities, Discrepancies and Specific Concentration – Diversification Trends in the Group of Central and East European Ex-Socialist Countries," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 18(43), pages 503-503, August.
    2. Tihomir Enev & Kenneth Koford, 2000. "The Effect of Incomes Policies on Inflation in Bulgaria and Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 141-169, October.
    3. Fardmanesh, Mohsen & Tan, Li, 1996. "Wage and Price Control Policies in Socialist Transitional Economies," Center Discussion Papers 28515, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
    4. Fardmanesh, Mohsen & Tan, Li, 2003. "Wage and price control policies in transition economies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 173-200, February.
    5. Solimano, Andres & Yuravlivker, David E. & DEC, 1993. "Price formation, nominal anchors, and stabilization policies in Hungary : an empirical analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1234, The World Bank.

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