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The Information Content of Realized Losses

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  • Peter Kelly

Abstract

Examining the trades of company insiders, I find that a sale of stock at a loss is a much more negative signal about future returns than is a sale of stock at a gain. I consider a range of explanations for my results and find that the evidence is most consistent with the idea that investors derive direct disutility from selling a stock at a loss. Since selling a stock at a loss is painful, an investor who sells at a loss must have particularly negative information. This result offers a novel measurement of the strength of the disposition effect. Received December 7, 2015; editorial decision December 18, 2017 by Editor Robin Greenwood. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Kelly, 2018. "The Information Content of Realized Losses," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2468-2498.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:31:y:2018:i:7:p:2468-2498.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhy013
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    Cited by:

    1. Meng, Yongqiang & Goodell, John W. & Shen, Dehua, 2023. "Information shocks and investor underreaction: Evidence from the Bitcoin market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    2. An, Li & Argyle, Bronson, 2021. "Overselling winners and losers: How mutual fund managers' trading behavior affects asset prices," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Avijit Bansal & Balagopal Gopalakrishnan & Joshy Jacob & Pranjal Srivastava, 2022. "Impact of operational fragility on stock returns: Lessons from COVID‐19 crisis," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 365-398, June.
    4. Irene Karamanou & Grace Pownall & Rachna Prakash, 2021. "Asymmetric information consolidation and price discovery: Inferring bad news from insider sales," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1-2), pages 230-268, January.

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