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Feedback Trading between Fundamental and Nonfundamental Information

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  • Ming Guo
  • Hui Ou-Yang

Abstract

We develop a strategic trading model in which an insider exploits noise traders' overreaction. A feedback effect arises from the insider's trading on fundamental information (the expected growth rate of dividends) and nonfundamental information (insider's inventory or noise supply). We find that the stock price is not fully revealing; a faster mean-reverting noise supply leads to a more volatile price; the price impact can increase with insider's risk-aversion; and a risk-averse insider can trade more aggressively on fundamental information than a risk-neutral one does. Insider's current trade and his previous inventory exhibit simultaneously positive forecasting powers for future stock returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Ming Guo & Hui Ou-Yang, 2015. "Feedback Trading between Fundamental and Nonfundamental Information," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(1), pages 247-296.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:28:y:2015:i:1:p:247-296.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhu057
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    Cited by:

    1. Ou-Yang, Hui & Wu, Weili, 2017. "Net trade and market efficiency in Grossman and Stiglitz (1980)," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 75-85.
    2. Bose, Subir & Ladley, Daniel & Li, Xin, 2020. "The role of hormones in financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Guo, Ming & Ou-Yang, Hui, 2021. "Alpha decay and Sharpe ratio: Two measures of investor performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Zhou, Deqing & Zhen, Fang, 2021. "Risk aversion, informative noise trading, and long-lived information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 247-254.
    5. Guo, Mng, 2023. "Dampening effect and market efficiency," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    6. Saint Kuttu & Godfred A. Bokpin, 2017. "Feedback Trading and Autocorrelation Patterns in Sub-Saharan African Equity Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(1), pages 213-225, January.
    7. Jia, Xue, 2016. "On the role of information disclosures in capital markets," Other publications TiSEM 9bacfbaa-2162-49fe-92e6-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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