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Analysing farmland rental rates using Bayesian geoadditive quantile regression

Author

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  • Alexander März
  • Nadja Klein
  • Thomas Kneib
  • Oliver Musshoff

Abstract

Empirical studies on farmland rental rates so far have predominantly concentrated on modelling conditional means using spatial autoregressive models. While these models only focus on the central tendency of the response variable, quantile regression provides more detailed insight by modelling different points of the conditional distribution as a function of covariates. Based on data from the German agricultural census, this article contributes to the agricultural economics literature by modelling conditional quantiles of farmland rental rates semi-parametrically using Bayesian geoadditive quantile regression. Our results stress the importance of using semi-parametric regression models, as several covariates influence rental rates in an explicit non-linear way. Moreover, our analysis allows us to uncover potential heterogeneities of the estimated effects across the conditional distribution of rental rates. By explicitly modelling and visually presenting the spatial effects, we also provide additional insight into the spatial structure of German farmland rental rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander März & Nadja Klein & Thomas Kneib & Oliver Musshoff, 2016. "Analysing farmland rental rates using Bayesian geoadditive quantile regression," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 43(4), pages 663-698.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:erevae:v:43:y:2016:i:4:p:663-698.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/erae/jbv028
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    Cited by:

    1. Demartini, Eugenio & Gaviglio, Anna & Gelati, Marco & Cavicchioli, Daniele, 2016. "The Lords of the Rent," 149th Seminar, October 27-28, 2016, Rennes, France 245705, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Henning Schaak & Oliver Musshoff, 2022. "The distribution of the rent–price relationship of agricultural land in Germany," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 49(3), pages 696-718.
    3. Cord-Friedrich von Hobe & Marius Michels & Oliver Musshoff, 2021. "German Farmers’ Perspectives on Price Drivers in Agricultural Land Rental Markets—A Combination of a Systematic Literature Review and Survey Results," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, February.
    4. Ngandu Balekelayi & Solomon Tesfamariam, 2020. "Geoadditive Quantile Regression Model for Sewer Pipes Deterioration Using Boosting Optimization Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-24, October.
    5. Kualwik, Jacek, 2016. "Selected problems of farmland valuation and setting rents for its lease," Problems of Agricultural Economics / Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej 252639, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute (IAFE-NRI).
    6. Johanna Choumert & Pascale Phelinas, 2015. "Farmland Rental Values in GM Soybean Areas of Argentina: Do Contractual Arrangements Matter?," CERDI Working papers halshs-01237771, HAL.
    7. Witte, Felix & Sponagel, Christian & Bahrs, Enno, 2023. "Used Tractor on the Rise - An Econometric Analysis of German Auction Results," GEWISOLA 63rd Annual Conference, Goettingen, Germany, September 20-22, 2023 344232, GEWISOLA.
    8. Junpyo Park, 2022. "Distance to Biorefinery Plants and Its Influence on Agricultural Land Value: Evidence from the United States Midwest Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, September.
    9. Buchholz, Matthias & Danne, Michael & Musshoff, Oliver, 2022. "An experimental analysis of German farmers’ decisions to buy or rent farmland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    10. Kuethe, Todd H. & Bigelow, Daniel P., "undated". "Bargaining Power in Farmland Rental Markets," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274113, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Ivan Jeliazkov & Shubham Karnawat & Mohammad Arshad Rahman & Angela Vossmeyer, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian Quantile Analysis of Residential Rental Rates," Papers 2305.13687, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    12. Hennig Solveigh & Breustedt Gunnar, 2018. "The Incidence of Agricultural Subsidies on Rental Rates for Grassland," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 238(2), pages 125-156, April.

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