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Bayesian inference for Markov processes with diffusion and discrete components

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  • P. G. Blackwell

Abstract

Data arising in certain radio-tracking experiments consist of both a continuous spatial component and a discrete component related to behaviour. This leads naturally to stochastic models with a state space which is a product of continuous and discrete components. We consider a class of such models in continuous time, which can be thought of as diffusions in random environments. They are related to switching diffusion or hidden Markov models, but observations are made on both components at discrete time points, so that neither component is completely 'hidden'. We describe and illustrate an approach to fully Bayesian inference for these general models. The algorithm used is a hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo method. The diffusion parameters, the environment parameters and the sample path of the environment process itself are updated separately, in sequence, and the individual steps are a mixture of Gibbs and random walk Metropolis--Hastings types. Some implementation and model checking issues are discussed, and an example using data arising from a radio-tracking experiment is described. Copyright Biometrika Trust 2003, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • P. G. Blackwell, 2003. "Bayesian inference for Markov processes with diffusion and discrete components," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 90(3), pages 613-627, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:biomet:v:90:y:2003:i:3:p:613-627
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Svetlana V. Tishkovskaya & Paul G. Blackwell, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of heterogeneous environments from animal movement data," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), September.
    2. Harris, Keith J. & Blackwell, Paul G., 2013. "Flexible continuous-time modelling for heterogeneous animal movement," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 255(C), pages 29-37.
    3. Toby A. Patterson & Alison Parton & Roland Langrock & Paul G. Blackwell & Len Thomas & Ruth King, 2017. "Statistical modelling of individual animal movement: an overview of key methods and a discussion of practical challenges," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 101(4), pages 399-438, October.
    4. Ann E. McKellar & Roland Langrock & Jeffrey R. Walters & Dylan C. Kesler, 2015. "Using mixed hidden Markov models to examine behavioral states in a cooperatively breeding bird," Behavioral Ecology, International Society for Behavioral Ecology, vol. 26(1), pages 148-157.
    5. Trung Dung Tran & Emmanuel Lesaffre & Geert Verbeke & Joke Duyck, 2021. "Latent Ornstein‐Uhlenbeck models for Bayesian analysis of multivariate longitudinal categorical responses," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 77(2), pages 689-701, June.
    6. Zaineb L. Boulil & John W. Durban & Holly Fearnbach & Trevor W. Joyce & Samantha G. M. Leander & Henry R. Scharf, 2023. "Detecting Changes in Dynamic Social Networks Using Multiply-Labeled Movement Data," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 28(2), pages 243-259, June.
    7. Rosen, Ori & Thompson, Wesley K., 2009. "A Bayesian regression model for multivariate functional data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(11), pages 3773-3786, September.
    8. Kim, Yongku & Berliner, L. Mark, 2016. "Change of spatiotemporal scale in dynamic models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 80-92.
    9. Devin S. Johnson & Dana L. Thomas & Jay M. Ver Hoef & Aaron Christ, 2008. "A General Framework for the Analysis of Animal Resource Selection from Telemetry Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(3), pages 968-976, September.
    10. A. Parton & P. G. Blackwell, 2017. "Bayesian Inference for Multistate ‘Step and Turn’ Animal Movement in Continuous Time," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(3), pages 373-392, September.
    11. Théo Michelot & Paul G. Blackwell & Simon Chamaillé‐Jammes & Jason Matthiopoulos, 2020. "Inference in MCMC step selection models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 76(2), pages 438-447, June.
    12. Mu Niu & Fay Frost & Jordan E. Milner & Anna Skarin & Paul G. Blackwell, 2022. "Modelling group movement with behaviour switching in continuous time," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 78(1), pages 286-299, March.

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